Aeolus launches research on earthquake sequences using RED

Aeolus Capital Management Ltd., a Bermuda-based reinsurance and insurance-linked securities (ILS) investment fund manager, has announced a new research partnership with natural disaster-focused risk analysis firm RED – Risk Engineering + Development, in which Determine the effects of earthquake sequences. I explored. Aeolus Capital Management explained that the research project will include a quantitative study examining how a key aspect of earthquake risk, namely sequencing, is represented in currently available disaster risk models.

The research will be led by Dr Pete Dailey, Head of Research at Aeolus, a recognized expert in disaster model development and analysis.

Explaining the focus and importance of earthquake research, Dr Dailey said: “Aeolus Research is excited to launch this partnership with Professor Bazzoro and the RED team based in Pavia, Italy.

“Earthquakes naturally occur in sequence, with some lasting for weeks, months, or even years. While disaster models have explicitly taken temporal clustering of earthquakes into account in their models for regions such as the New Madrid area in the central United States, recent events of sequences in New Zealand and Italy Turkey provided additional data for the scientific community to analyze.

“Partnering with the RED team will ensure that our risk models continue to consider earthquake risk in a complete and comprehensive way.”

RED's Professor Bazuru is a recognized expert in earthquake risk modeling, and was previously head of AIR Worldwide's earthquake risk modeling team (now Verrisk Analytics).

“This is an important study on the effects of including sequences in earthquake hazard estimates in California,” said Professor Bazzurro.

“We look forward to our partnership with Aeolus to help improve our understanding of earthquake risk.”

For an investment manager like Aiolos, understanding the implications of how sequences affect earthquake risk in a peak region like California can provide useful insights, to aid in portfolio management and design, as well as in contract pricing.

Aeolus is known for its research focus, having previously launched an initiative focused on hurricane forecasting, looking at the medium-term time horizon, in collaboration with the State University of New York (SUNY) Department of Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences at Albany.

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