Japan Issues First Warning of 'Massive Earthquake': Here's What You Need to Know

Japanese scientists have issued their first major earthquake warning after a powerful quake struck parts of the country on Thursday.

Although the threat is not imminent or guaranteed, the Japan Meteorological Agency said in a press release that the possibility of a “large-scale earthquake” is “relatively higher than usual,” but “this does not mean that a large-scale earthquake will definitely occur within a specific period.”

The agency warned that such an earthquake would likely cause tsunamis and strong tremors. Authorities advised residents to take disaster precautions issued by local governments and remain alert for the next seven days. The warning prompted Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida to cancel a trip to several Central Asian countries.

The warning of a powerful quake came after a 7.1-magnitude quake struck the Nankai region in the Pacific Ocean off Japan’s southern coast on Thursday. The Japan Meteorological Agency issued a tsunami warning, but it was later dismissed. On Friday, a weaker 5.3-magnitude quake struck Kanagawa Prefecture, south of Tokyo. The quakes caused no deaths and only 16 minor injuries, The Japan Times reported.

The Nankai Trough is an underwater basin that sits on a major fault line and has been the starting point for several major earthquakes, including a pair of earthquakes in 1854 that triggered tsunamis that killed about 3,000 people. Another pair of sister earthquakes in 1944 and 1946 killed 1,200 and 1,300 people, respectively. In 2022, the Japan Earthquake Research Committee estimated the probability of a major earthquake along the fault line within the next 30 years at 70% to 80%.

This fault line was not the source of the 2011 earthquake that killed some 20,000 people and triggered the devastating tsunami that led to the Fukushima nuclear disaster. Instead, it was seismic activity along the boundary between the Pacific and North American tectonic plates.

A 2022 study suggested that a major earthquake triggered by the Nankai Trough fault line could cause $8.4 trillion (1,240 trillion yen) in damage.

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