What is the last “big earthquake” and when do experts expect the next catastrophic earthquake?

Earthquakes are deadly natural phenomena that cause hundreds of thousands of deaths simultaneously in different parts of the world. California, which lies on the earthquake-prone “Ring of Fire,” which includes the landmasses bordering the Pacific Ocean, is also home to the San Andreas Fault. This fault marks the meeting point of tectonic plates, creating high levels of seismic activity.

According to the USGS, scientists have no way to predict when and where major earthquakes will occur. The best that experts can do is calculate the probability of a large earthquake occurring in a given area over a time frame of years.

Strong earthquakes can cause devastating damage, especially if they strike densely populated areas. Forbes says the quake, referred to as the “Big Earthquake,” had a magnitude of at least 7.8.

What is the last “big earthquake” and when do experts expect the next catastrophic earthquake?

According to this definition, the earthquake that struck Alaska in 2021 falls into this category. Its magnitude reached 8.2, but fortunately it did not result in deaths or cause serious damage. The limited impacts of the event were due to its occurrence offshore from a sparsely populated area.

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It is different when talking about urban areas with large population densities. Scientific forecasts issued ten years ago indicated that there was a nearly 50% chance that at least one earthquake with a magnitude of at least 7.5 would strike California within the next 30 years. The US Geological Survey says the threat of a major earthquake hitting the Gulf region is real and that a potentially catastrophic event is “likely.” [to occur] Before 2032.”

Since scientists expect frightening earthquakes to occur in the region every 150 to 200 years, it seems that a major earthquake has taken its time, and could occur without warning at any time.

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