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Seismologists are optimistic with caution with the development of an Aegean earthquake activity

Seismologists are optimistic with caution with the development of an Aegean earthquake activity


Seismologists in Greece are increasingly confident that the risk of a large earthquake exceeds 6 in the south of the Aegean Sea decreases, despite continuous seismic activity in recent weeks. According to Efthymios Lekkas, head of the Greek Earthquake and Protection Organization, current data indicates a gradual decrease in intensity.

“We cannot determine it in one day at any stage we are until that day. From the beginning, we said this will be a lengthy sequence – which ranges between three to five weeks.”

Three scenarios possible

Lekkas select three possible results for the continuous sequencing sequence between Santorini and Amorgos.

He said that the most likely scenario is a gradual decrease in both the frequency and size of tremors over time. “This is one of the possibilities, which we are currently facing with the fluctuations we have noticed,” he pointed out.

The second scenario includes a stronger earthquake – the size of 5.5 or 5.6 – which can accelerate the process, which rushes to install the area. He said: “5.6 can speed up things and shorten the period of influence.”

The third and less likely scenario is an earthquake 6. ”Last week, the estimated maximum was 6.2, but this has now been reviewed down,” he said. While such an event can affect the nearby islands and even generate a small tsunami, Likas reassured that “the first and second scenarios have a huge possibility that exceeds 95 %, and we focus on those.”

He added: “I think that the possibility of an earthquake in size 6 or above has been excluded,” explaining that the accumulated energy in the region is gradually dissipated. “Today, we are a little more optimistic than we were yesterday.”

Installation marks

Other experts chanted this cautious optimism. “However, it is believed that the region is heading towards stability.

Meanwhile, the professor of the earthquake structures stressed the role of terrain in determining the potential impact of the future earthquake during an interview at the huge weekend. “In the event of an earthquake in size 6 where it is displayed, I think the effects will be limited to certain areas, especially because of the terrain. He explained that the trend is important because because of the physical stagnation, the structures interact differently depending on the place where the earthquake comes.”

Karydis also warned that frequent tremors can weaken buildings over time. “These earthquakes affect the structures through the Earth. In areas where the Earth is soft and sandy, they absorb vibrations, which helps in some aspects. But if the Earth is free to transform, we can see distortions and landslides.

As seismic activity continues, experts continue to monitor the situation closely.

Sources

1/ https://Google.com/

2/ https://www.tovima.com/science/seismologists-cautiously-optimistic-as-aegean-earthquake-activity-evolves/

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