Can California face a major earthquake soon?

Seismologists are closely monitoring the rift lines in California, as fears grow about the possibility of “the big” will happen soon.

“Big One” refers to a huge earthquake that can happen along the mistake of San Andreas, one of the most important rift lines in the state. Scientists expect that this earthquake can reach 7.8 or higher, causing widespread destruction throughout southern California or San Francisco Bay area depending on the rupture site.

Why do it matter

The possibility of a major earthquake in California is a major concern due to the location of the state along the active rift lines. With the accumulation of seismic stress along the San Andreas error and the smaller local errors, experts warn that the risk of a large -scale earthquake is high, especially in the southern regions of Golden State.

The possibility of catastrophic damage – infrastructure, homes and life – makes it important that California be prepared.

What do you know

California has rocked at least nine earthquakes since Thursday, which raised fears that the “big” is close.

The most powerful earthquake in favor of California was 4.3 in size that hit 6 miles northwest of Avenal at approximately 4:17 pm on February 13, according to the USGS (USGS).

Three earthquakes were registered one mile from Hawyard in the California Gulf area on Thursday afternoon. Two of these earthquakes occurred within two minutes from each other. The three occurred along the Hayouard error line, which USGs notice an active error in the San Francisco Bay area. They had sizes of 3.2, 3.3 and 2.6, respectively.

Hayouard's mistake extends at the foot of the eastern Gulf hills. The last main earthquake was hit on October 21, 1868, measuring 6.8.

Another earthquake of 2.5 size also struck two miles from Blazant Hill in the Gulf region at approximately 4:45 pm local time on Thursday afternoon, according to the USGS.

Meanwhile, an earthquake of 2.9 sized 10 miles west of Petroleum in North California hit at approximately 11:40 am on Thursday.

Then it struck three earthquakes on Friday, including an earthquake of 3.2 size 5 miles of heaters, which occurred at about 10:20 am local time. Another hit after five hours, at 3:42 pm, two miles southwest of Anderson Springs. He had 2.7 size.

The latest earthquake to hit the state was recorded in the Malibu area late Friday at approximately 11:44 pm and was 3.7. According to Usgs, the earthquake felt 50 miles in Los Angeles County, in Long Beach, Porter Ranch and Euetter. It was also felt 30 miles in multiple cities in Vinterora Province, including a thousand Ox, Port Hoinim, Oxenard, Camarilo and Wadi Simi.

Can California face a major earthquake soon? Can California face a major earthquake soon? CANVA/Canva

Hundreds have reported that they feel seismic events, according to USGs, but no damage to earthquakes has been reported. However, experts are now afraid that there will be a major seismic event on the road, especially after it hit four earthquakes of the southern parts of the state within 24 hours earlier this week, some of which are along the famous San Andreas error, where it is expected to happen “Al -Kabeer “.

“Since more than 144 years have passed since the last major earthquake, the watch is parked,” researchers at the University of California, Berkeley, mentioned in 2018. During the next thirty years. “

Experts told Newsweek that the next main seismic event in California is likely to happen in the southern part of the state.

“In general, southern California has 36 % of the M7.5 earthquake or larger in the next thirty years,” Elizabeth Cocran said with the United States Center for the earthquake. “California is known as” earthquake country “and the population must be aware of the risks of the earthquake and take steps to alleviate their personal risks.”

“The temporary increases or the decrease in the earthquake is normal and expected,” she added.

Professor Jonathan Stewart of the College of Engineering at the University of California, Los Angeles, in Newsweek, agreed: “The great person in California lacks a specific scientific definition, but he is generally considered an event 8 (+/-) on the error of the boundaries of the painting, which is the mistake of San Andreas. The earthquake (Parkfield South to Kajon Pass), and 1690 for a south of the mistake.

He added: “Given that stress accumulates over time, we can expect the southern part to produce the next big event.”

The possible earthquake of 8 earthquakes will lead to damage in the state's most populated cities, causing about 1,800 deaths, 50,000 injuries, and 200 billion dollars in damage, according to California's earthquake estimates (CEA).

However, Stewart said that the danger of “great” occurrence is not significantly higher after it was a few years ago.

“The stress accumulates on a longer period of time,” he said. Stewart added that “we should not lose sight of the possibilities of the great damage to the borders of the smaller border, not the painting, and the mistakes are closer to the capital area of ​​Los Angeles,” and not only the mistakes of the big painting limits such as San Andreas's mistake.

He said: “The two most recent earthquakes were destroyed in 1971 and 1994 on smaller mistakes in the San Fernando Valley.”

Los Angeles was not strange to natural disasters, after her forest fires were destroyed last month that burned more than 47,900 acres, destroyed more than 16,250 homes and companies, and killed 29 people.

Since then, many California officials, including the mayor of Los Angeles Karen Bass and the head of the firefighting fire department in Los Angeles (LAFD) Christine Crowley and California Governor Gavin News Fighting incendiary. California officials said it is due to the high local demand.

Newsom is now facing a petition to remove him from his position, which accuses him of “serious mismanagement during Los Angeles Province fires,” saying that “insufficient resources and the delay of responses left destroyed societies.” In response, Nathan, Nathan, a spokesman for newsweeek, told Newsweek: “Governor Newsom is focusing on organizing resources to restore fires – not politics.”

However, the political repercussions of forest fires have developed a disaster response system in California in the spotlight.

Stewart Newsweek told California “great progress” in reducing his seismic risk.

“We have made great progress in California to reduce seismic risks, including update programs for highways bridges, initiatives to harden state hospitals and health clinics, and mandatory decrees for modernization re -modernization of construction structures in particular in many consultations in California (for example, Los Angeles San Francisco).

The state, through the state -level health planning and development office (OSHPD), imposes that healthcare facilities meet strict seismic safety standards. In addition, cities such as Los Angeles and San Francisco have entered mandatory modernization ceremonies of weak structures such as unknown construction buildings (URMS) and soft buildings to reduce the risk of the earthquake.

But although these measures are placed in place, Stuart noted that California still has a long way in terms of improving the disaster response system.

“The list of challenges is still long,” he said. “Some of the continuous risks with particularly important are related to water transmission systems, other life artery, and the structures that have not been investigated or modified yet. Maintaining focus on these problems in the field of public policy is difficult to look at the big time since the last event in 1994 Great damage to the California Urban Center.

What happens after that?

It is not clear when, or if “Big One” will strike California. Currently, the last earthquakes in California are likely to have a smaller visit. In the event of more, it is possible to be reported on the latest USGS page.

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