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Earthquake 2025, aftershocks 2026 – Mishbasha Magazine
There are some things we learned last night that will have staying power
One year ago, Elon Musk seemed like the most important outside influence in American politics, Zahran Mamdani was an unknown member of the House of Representatives, and the Democratic Party was written off for the dead. today? Musk's vote didn't affect the 2025 election, Mamdani is now mayor-elect of New York City, and the fledgling Democratic Party swept almost every major election last night. I often remind readers that a week is a long life in politics, and a year is a thousand years, and last night's election was no different. Things change very quickly in politics. What we know now will quickly change within a week. But there are some things we learned last night that will have staying power. The things that happened will affect politics immediately, in next year's midterm elections and even the next presidential election. Here are five quick points: 1 Economics, stupid
Both Democratic candidates won gubernatorial races in New Jersey (Sherrill) and Virginia (Spanberger). These countries have been leaders for a long time. There is a trend that goes back decades, where these two states elect the governor of the party opposing the president, but it also points us to the opposition party's chances in the upcoming midterm elections. Their victories not only cause problems for the Republican Party, but are also a sign of two trends. The first is the fact that the economy is the main driver for voters. Multiple polls have found that the economy is a major issue for voters. Last year, this economic discontent worked to the GOP's advantage, and this year it appears to be back to hurt them. The second trend is that when Trump is not on the ballot it hurts the Republican Party. Let's remember that they struggled in the 2018 midterms and underperformed in the 2022 midterms — both of which did not have Trump on the ballot. In 2025, Trump was not on the ballot, and he won't be in 2026. This is a trend that scares Republicans and excites Democrats.
2 Socialism of fools?
Mamdani is the most prominent democratic socialist ever elected. Most Democrats rallied around him and supported him. This is a sign that socialists are now the mainstay of the Democratic Party. The problem is that socialism is a radical political movement in America, and outside some urban areas it is not a winning formula for electoral success. The Democratic Party and the Socialist Movement would split and engage in nasty primaries to settle their ideological differences. Meanwhile, the Republican Party will immediately use Mamdani and his rule of New York City as an example of everything that is wrong with the Democratic Party. Republicans will constantly and repeatedly force the Democratic Party to adopt or denounce Mamdani's policies.
3 Newsom rises
Proposition 50, an attempt to add five Democratic seats to Congress through redistricting, passed in California. This is a huge victory for Gavin Newsom and will cement him as a major presidential candidate in 2028. Democratic voters are desperate for someone who can fight, and what better way to do that than by delivering more Democratic seats to the House? In addition to raising Newsom's profile, this would also raise the profile of redistricting as a political weapon before 2026. California has now taken on a redistricting battle initiated by Texas for Republicans. Will it end? Which country moves next? These questions will escalate as both parties vie for power, not just at the ballot box, but by redrawing Congress as we know it.
4 Pennsylvania, 2028
Pennsylvania remains the epicenter of presidential politics, and last night's election proved that. The state Supreme Court was up for election last night and it was a major battle royal between the Democratic Party that wanted to maintain its majority versus the Republican Party seeking to defeat many of the sitting justices. This is a fight for 2028, when those same judges could be involved in crucial election lawsuits, going even further into Pennsylvania redistricting in 2030. Ultimately, the Democratic Party prevailed and defeated the Republican challenge, but it shows just how important Pennsylvania is, and the untimely maneuvering by both parties to gain any potential advantage in the upcoming presidential race.
5 Jewish mutation
There's no denying that something big is happening with Jewish voters across America. Not only did the community vote last night, it broke voting records. My shul, my children's religious school, and a thousand WhatsApp conversations all urged, reminded, and pushed people to vote. By my estimate, more than 25,000 Jewish voters have registered over the past few months in New York City, and another 10,000 have done so in New Jersey. The turnout broke records. As of this writing, turnout in Lakewood alone has exceeded turnout in the 2024 presidential election. This is simply unheard of. Elections held outside the year are not supposed to receive more votes than in the presidential year. Society has learned how to vote, and they do so consistently and systematically. What's also amazing is that it's not just 'inner city'; We are now witnessing huge demand across the country. In a less-covered race in Miami Beach, the community played a crucial role in turnout in the local mayoral race. I think this is all about a greater realization that society has come to. Our goal is not just to win and lose, it is to vote because when we vote, politicians take note. They keep track of who comes and who doesn't. This was achieved in these elections at the highest levels of power. The President of the United States issued two separate statements about the vote in Lakewood. Politicians see our efforts and take notice. Let us remain steadfast and continue to practice this important civic habit.
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