Madrid’s new bug calms down in January – should Missouri worry?

There are two ways you can look at the total number of earthquakes along the New Madrid Fault in southern Missouri in January of 2026. You can choose to be happy that the rate of earthquakes has slowed dramatically or you can choose to wonder if this is the calm before the storm.

I’ll admit that I was really surprised when I checked the USGS earthquake website and inquired about their database of New Madrid earthquakes in January. The total for the month is about half the normal number I see.

Infographic, USGSInfographic, USGS

There were only 17 earthquakes in New Madrid confirmed by the USGS in January, which is half the normal. Over the course of a month, the normal frequency of tremors is about 1 per day or 30 per month. I haven’t seen an earthquake in southern Missouri in days. Why did Madrid’s new error suddenly calm down?

Does the silence of earthquakes mean that the New Madrid Fault is preparing for a major event?

I found a study conducted by Pennsylvania State University that concludes that although a lack of seismic activity can lead to increased stress, it does not necessarily mean that a major event is imminent. There are ebbs and flows along seismic zones such as the New Madrid Fault. While there may not be an earthquake for several days, suddenly you will see a small swarm with many earthquakes in a short period of time. For this reason, we shouldn’t read too much into January’s quiet month of earthquakes along the New Madrid Fault — yet.

10 things to expect if Madrid’s new bug unleashes the big one

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