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1 in 300 chance of a strong earthquake that could follow the Salton Navy squadron of earthquakes within 7 days – CBS Los Angeles

 


Salton Sea (CBSLA) – The desert vibration near the Salton Sea continued as the swarm of small earthquakes that started on Wednesday continued through Thursday.

(Credit: USGS)

The swarm slowed on Thursday, but at least four earthquakes of magnitude 3 or greater were recorded in the first seven hours of the day, according to the US Geological Survey. The swarm is underway in the Brawley seismic zone.

The USGS said that in the past the area has seen swarms that have been active for up to 20 days, but the average duration is about a week. The current swarm is occurring 25 miles south of the swarm that occurred near Bombay Beach in August.

The US Geological Survey says there is a distant chance, about 1 in 300, that an earthquake of magnitude 7 or higher could follow the swarm over the next seven days. There is a 10% chance that the swarm will be followed by a larger earthquake of 6.9, according to the US Geological Survey.

But the most likely scenario is that the rate of earthquakes will decrease over the next seven days. Even with a 90% chance of this scenario, the US Geological Survey said, the swarm could include medium-sized earthquakes with magnitudes between 4.5 and 5.4 degrees.

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