Any fire following the British Columbia earthquake could cost the Canadian industry underwritten

According to a new study published by the institute on Friday, the fire that followed a severe earthquake in the Vancouver area could cause more than $ 10 billion in damage, and the municipality must create alternative sources of water supply to help fight the expected fires caused by the earthquake. Catastrophic Loss Reduction (ICLR).

“Strong vibration in the Vancouver area could lead to hundreds of ignitions, and interruptions in water supply lines would harm firefighters’ ability to suppress these fires, ”ICLR notes in a statement announcing the release of the report, the post-earthquake fire in the Vancouver area. “Even well-prepared fire services, such as those in Vancouver and the region, can be overwhelmed by a large number of fires.”

ICLR’s $ 10 billion estimate of post-earthquake fire damage in the Vancouver, British Columbia area, excludes damage estimates from ground shaking and other sources (tsunami, liquefaction, etc.).

“Talking about earthquakes in general raises only concerns about the damage caused by the vibration,” said Paul Kovacs, executive director of ICLR, in a statement accompanying the release of the report. Other considerations are rarely taken into account, such as the impact of fire. This study indicates that the effect of fire alone could be material for Vancouver and other neighboring communities.

“The good news is that there are many measures that fire departments, owners and managers of high-rise buildings and public facilities can take to reduce risks, and this was illustrated in the study.”

Specifically, the report found that the fires that followed the earthquake losses in the Vancouver area could be significantly reduced by:

Investments in a regional portable water supply system for fire services in the Vancouver area; Provision of emergency water supply for fire fighting for high-rise buildings; And the inclusion of seismic shut-off valves in all gas meters in high-risk areas, among other recommendations.

Previous research in 2013 by AIR Worldwide disaster modeler, commissioned by the Canadian Insurance Office, suggested that an earthquake in British Columbia would cost insured damage of approximately $ 20.4 billion (that figure included only $ 337 million in fire damage following the earthquake). The scenario in the AIR Worldwide study was based on a magnitude 9 earthquake that occurred in the Pacific Ocean approximately 75 kilometers off the west coast of Vancouver Island, about 300 kilometers from downtown Vancouver.

More recently, a study published by ICLR in 2019 estimated that a 6.5-magnitude earthquake with its epicenter in downtown Montreal, and Magnitude 7 events to the northwest and southwest of Montreal, could cause a fire after damage anywhere from $ 10 billion. And $ 30 billion, depending on the fire department. Response, water system damage, weather, and other conditions

The ICLR study on fire in the aftermath of an earthquake in the Vancouver area was prepared by Dr. Charles Schawthorne, an international body involved in managing fire risks in the aftermath of an earthquake. He also authored the 2019 ICLR Study on post-earthquake fire in the Montreal area and the 2001 ICLR study to assess risk due to post-earthquake fires in Lower British Columbia.

Scawthorne has also produced studies assessing fire risk following earthquakes in San Francisco, Los Angeles and Tokyo.

Feature image provided by iStock.ca/ronniechua

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