A prominent geologist warns of a 7.4 magnitude earthquake in Istanbul

Famous Turkish geologist Nasi Gur said on Saturday that the anomaly in the fault line in which Istanbul is located indicates a magnitude 7.2 earthquake that affected the Silivri-Kumburgaz-Buyukcekmece districts of the city.

Koror took to Twitter to comment on the latest assessment by the Kandilli Observatory and the Seismological Research Institute, which repeated an earthquake warning in Turkey’s most populous city.

The observatory said: “The section (of the city), extending from Silivri shores to Buyukcekmece, could be a candidate for potential future earthquakes. Velocity variances indicate potential cracks.”

The huge Turkish city of Istanbul, with a population of 16 million, is located near the North Anatolian Fault Line, which according to experts has the potential to cause tremors of magnitude 7.0 and above.

For years, Gurur said, he stressed that one of the closed fault lines in the Sea of ​​Marmara was the Kumburgaz fault line, which lies between the shores of Silivri and Yishilkoy.

“I express that the expected earthquake will occur in this section at least with a magnitude of 7.2,” Gurur said. “Today’s comments are correct and we should pay attention to them.”

I say there is a comporgase error branch that runs between. I express that the expected earthquake will most likely be in this branch and may occur with a minimum of 7.2. So, what Kandilli says today is true to me and should be considered important.

– a. Dr. Nassi Gurur (@nacigorur) January 30, 2021

The Istanbul Planning Agency (IPA), an initiative launched by the city’s metropolitan municipality, estimated that at least 48,000 buildings would be severely damaged in a 7.5-magnitude earthquake, while another 194,000 would register at least moderate-severity damage.

The IPA said the city would lose 120 billion liras ($ 14.2 billion) immediately after such an earthquake, and the human cost would be even higher.

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