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A violent 8.0-magnitude earthquake looms over the Himalayan arc – The New Indian Express

 


Fast news service

New Delhi: In the wake of the mild earthquake that struck northern India on Friday, the entire Himalayan Arc was set to trigger a series of great earthquakes of magnitude 8. The human disaster in the region is likely to be unprecedented when it occurs.

The assessments of Stephen J. Wisnowski, professor of geology and seismology at the University of Nevada in Reno, USA, and Roger Pelham, a geologist at the Collaborative Institute for Environmental Science Research (Cires) at the University of Colorado, point to the need for a large earthquake to release elastic energy in large sections of an arc Himalayas.

Pelham published a review of earthquakes in the Himalayas in the past thousand years for the Geological Society of London. It appears that there were no large enough earthquakes in this period to relieve the pressure accumulated in large parts of the arc.

It is estimated that due to the average rate of convergence between the Indian and Asian plaques, each year adds additional pressure on the main Himalayan track which needs a 7.3-megawatt earthquake to trigger (moment magnitude or megawatt is a quantitative measure of earthquake magnitude by magnitude).

Powerful earthquakes occurred in the western and central Himalayas 100 years ago. But the earthquakes in Kangra (1905, Mw7.8), Uttarkashi (1991, Mw6.8), Shamuli (1999, Mw6.8) and Kashmir EQ (2005, Mw7.6) were in fact moderate to large earthquakes. This means that something more dangerous in nature may be in the store.

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