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What if? Madrid’s new seismic zone has a 10% probability of catastrophic earthquakes in the next 50 years KMMO
The New Madrid seismic zone, sometimes called the New Madrid fault line, is a large seismic zone and a prolific source of intra-plate earthquakes (earthquakes within a tectonic plate) in the south and midwestern United States, extending southwest from New Madrid, Missouri.
The New Madrid Fault System was responsible for the 1811-12 New Madrid earthquakes, and has the potential to cause large earthquakes in the future. Since 1812, smaller frequent earthquakes have been recorded in the region. Earthquakes occurring in the New Madrid Seismic Zone (NMSZ) are likely to threaten parts of Illinois, Indiana, Missouri, Arkansas, Kentucky, Tennessee, Oklahoma and Mississippi.
NMSZ has a 10 percent probability of a catastrophic earthquake in the next 50 years. The area affected by a 7.7 magnitude earthquake will have few buildings remaining; Bridges will be destroyed. Cracks in the ground and landslides will occur. The first 72 hours after the earthquake are crucial to the success of this mission, as the population affected by the water, food and shelter requirements has a very steep rate of growth before gradually decreasing. Successful operations in this situation depend on the timely sharing of information to produce a clear picture of the accident.
The Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), the Missouri National Guard, and Civil Aviation Patrol have NMSZ-related contingency plans. The Civil Aviation Patrol will establish a Major Operations Base (MOB) in Missouri; The support wings will deploy aircraft, aerial reconnaissance capabilities, communications teams, mission base personnel, ground team and support personnel. The assets will be posted for periods of time ranging from a day or two to several weeks. HF and VHF communications will be established between the MOB, the forward operating bases and any other related entities.
Specifically for Sedalia, the Sedalia Squadron will establish a staging area at Sedalia Regional Airport for aircraft and personnel. This staging area will be used for the crew / personnel rest area from the area of operations. The staging area should have a VHF connection, a secondary level of aircraft and vehicle maintenance, and a bed for 65. Monthly pilot flights and emergency services training will support recruitment, equipping, and training to support this requirement.
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