South Australia could have faced a record number of new COVID-19 cases a day without severely blocking states, the new modeling has revealed.
Regardless of states the lie of breaking the pizza bar worker’s contact, the health authorities have stood firm in their decision to introduce the state into some of the strongest restrictions in the world.
SA Health says the Australian Main Committee on Health Protection (AHPPC) indicated that, without action, the state would be headed for 100 cases a day.
That figure would be more than double the highest daily increase in cases since the start of the pandemic, which was 44 on March 30th.
The R number of states, the number of people each positive case can infect, may have been up to four.
That means a 99 percent chance of South Australians, some cases could have become a full second wave.
Chief of Public Health Professor Nicola Spurrier says that, lie pizza bar or not, an incredibly rapid rate of infection and a very virile strain meant that the authorities had to act quickly.
Spurrier says the decision to enter the jam was not based on that single interview with the Woodville Pizza Bar employee.
We would never make those decisions in isolation of just one piece of information, it is very complex, she said.
I have a set of principles and the first of them is the principle of care … and this is about acting fast without necessarily having all the information because, if you wait too long, you have missed an opportunity.
I was acting using that precondition.
We did not have a second chance to beat this wave, but we are going through it now as you can see in terms of the number of people in quarantine.
Despite the imposition, Spurrier said tough and swift action prevented Victorian-style restrictions.
We are well ahead of this wave now we have just started to see cases when they flow, she said.
It’s a different scenario from what people are used to, where you take a lot of chances and then start closing down.
What we have done is that we have very few cases, but we prevent that long-term closure.
The fear of groups subsides
Just a new case of COVID-19 on the first day of easing restrictions, but authorities warn the state has not yet gone out into the woods.
The new infection is a returning traveler, a woman in her 20s, who is in hotel quarantine.
No new cases have been linked to the Parafield group.
Prime Minister Steven Marshall says the state has avoided a catastrophic situation in our state by following health advice.
As we physically distanced ourselves, we were never more united, Marshall said.
More than 77,000 tests were conducted over the past week, with 16,928 of those on Saturday.
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