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The bleak picture of the global future offered in the US intelligence report




WASHINGTON U.S. intelligence officials are creating a bleak picture of the future of the world, writing in a report released Thursday that the coronavirus pandemic has deepened economic inequality, strained government resources and sparked nationalist sentiment.

These estimates are included in a Global Trends report by the government’s National Intelligence Council. The reports, produced every four years, are designed to help policymakers and citizens anticipate the economic, environmental, technological, and demographic forces that may shape the world over the next 20 years.

This year’s report focuses heavily on the impact of the pandemic, calling it the most significant global disruption, particularly since World War II, with health, economic, political and security implications that will wave for years to come.

Nations in different parts of the world set new records Thursday for Covid-19 deaths and new infections.

Covid-19 has shaken long-held assumptions about sustainability and adaptation and created new uncertainties about the economy, governance, geopolitics and technology, the report says.

The document finds cause for concern in virtually all aspects of life.

He warns, for example, that the effects of climate change are likely to exacerbate the problem of food and water insecurity in poor countries and accelerate global migration. Although home health, education, and prosperity have made historic improvements in recent decades, that progress will be difficult to sustain due to strong winds not only from the effects of the pandemic but also of aging populations and potentially slow of economic growth.

Advances in technology have the potential to address problems including climate change and disease, but can also provoke new tensions, the report says.

State and non-state rivals will compete for leadership and dominance in science and technology with potentially cascading risks and implications for economic, military and social security, the report says.

The report also warns of the erosion of trust in government and institutions and of a trust gap between the general public and the more informed and educated sections of the population.

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