Researchers say COVID-19 could be wiped out in London in a few weeks due to lower infection rates

According to a study, the number of people infected with coronavirus in London has dropped to 24 each day, while about 4,000 new cases are seen daily in northeast England.

Infection rates in the UK also seem to have slowed, as modeled by the Department of Public Health in England and the MRC Department of Biostatistics at the University of Cambridge.

The UK R-value is 0.75, which is definitely below 1.0. It was designated by the Prime Minister as a requirement for continued mitigation of lockdown measures in the coming months.

R value Represents how many people will be infected on average “data-reactid =” 15 “> R value Shows how many people are infected, on average

If R is 1, one with the disease will infect the other. In the case of 3, which Boris Johnson said is the “natural rate” of coronavirus, one person infects three.

When R is less than 1, the virus gradually spreads because it has not spread to enough people to maintain the infection. The closer it is to zero, the faster the case decreases.

Research shows that the R rate is 0.8 in the northeast and Yorkshire, 0.76 in the southwest, 0.73 in the northwest, 0.71 in the southeast and eastern England, and 0.68 in the Midlands.

The average infection rate in London has dropped to 0.4. That is, for every 10 people infected, 4 people can be infected.

This figure also means that the capital has come to have the lowest infection rate in Britain, due to the epicenter of the outbreak in Britain.

According to the study, more than 200,000 new cases were seen daily in London when the blockade was announced on March 23.

However, in the capital, the number of infections per day is less than 24, halving every 3.5 days, so the virus can go away in just a few weeks.

This study will pressure the government to consider unlocking lockdowns at different rates in different parts of the country.

Mentioned the idea of ​​different rules in different areas When he told Sky’s Sophie Ridge on Sunday program over the weekend, he said, “… if we see an outbreak in certain areas, neighborhoods, schools, or towns, we will take specific measures at those locations as we build. A more sophisticated long-term response to virus control could be taken. data-reactid = “24”> Minister Robert Jenrick Mentioned the idea of ​​different rules in different areas When he told Sky’s Sophie Ridge on Sunday program over the weekend, he said, “… if we see an outbreak in certain areas, neighborhoods, schools, or towns, we will take specific measures at those locations as we build. You may be able to take a more sophisticated long-term response to control the virus. “

Secretary of Health Matt Hancock previously said the government “sees” possibilities.

New research suggests that more than 25% of the UK are likely already infected with coronaviruses.

Researchers at the University of Manchester, Salford Royal and the Res Consortium used local government data to calculate R-values ​​(number of people infected with one COVID-19) in each region.

Data from 144 municipalities analyzed by the team show R values ​​well below 1. This value was above 3 in the middle of March.

One of the researchers in the study, Dr Adrian Heald, was published this week in the International Journal of Clinical Practice, saying: “COVID-19 is a highly contagious disease and very important for small groups. Dangerous, with few or no symptoms, not reported.

“This study attempts to provide an estimate of the number of historic infections-and gives us all a glimmer of hope that there may be light at the end of the tunnel.

“We show how effective social distances and blockades were. This is a tragedy, but it could have been much worse.”

Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham told SkyNews Monday that the changes to the blockade announced by the Prime Minister on Sunday night were “premature.”

“The Prime Minister’s statement could be too early and confusing for the Northwest,” he said.

“My message to the Greater Manchester people and businesses is: Take care and take time before making any changes to your routine.”

Local government leaders and trade union chiefs also accuse the minister of rushing to reopen the school. And we want to control their returns more locally. Data-reactid = “35”> Meanwhile, Local government leaders and trade union chiefs also accuse the minister of rushing to reopen the school. And we want to control their returns more locally.

The Local Government Association (LGA) states that schools should be allowed to make their own decisions about reopening.

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LGA Children and Youth Board Chairman Trustee Judith Blake says parents are “worried” to send their children back to school and need more to reassure their families. Said.

Mr Johnson said when he announced his plan to release England from the blockade, receptions, grades 1 and 6 could return soon next month.