Health
Halving the number of infections every 3.5 days allows a UK free of coronavirus in 2 weeks: a study
Public Health England and the University of Cambridge have released new numbers showing that the coronavirus may disappear in London within two weeks. According to them, the “R” infection rate has dropped to 0.4 in the British capital and the number of infections has dropped by 50% every 3.5 days.
If the “R” continues to decrease, the virus will virtually disappear in the city by the end of the month. Express report.
March 23 United Kingdom has announced a national blockade At the pinnacle of COVID-19 outbreaks in the country. In the meantime, according to the analysis, the city of London reported about 213,000 new cases daily in the meantime.
However, by April 7th, it had reached 10,000 per day, with deaths declining almost 50% weekly. Based on this data, London, one of the UK’s hardest hit areas, is currently making progress in terms of recovery, suggesting that it is likely to recover if the case decline continues.
Currently, there are 4,000 positive cases every day in the northeast, “R” rate It’s twice the price of London. On Thursday night, parliamentarians said they were showing positive signs of unlocking by the region.
According to the conservative MP Bim Afolami, the UK should also consider the methods used by other countries to gradually reopen regions region by region. The UK should also be open to this idea, if that makes sense from a health perspective.
Recent numbers from London’s outbreaks are good news and show that the blockade is working, which could lead to further mitigation of the blockade in London.・ Villiers said.
“Finding ways to restore the economy is crucial, and London is the engine of the economy,” he added.
At present, the Sage Scientific Advisory Group is investigating a regional blockade if the regional’R ‘rate exceeds 1. However, former health minister Steve Brine argues that social distance measures must also be mitigated.
Also read: British horror coronavirus may actually have been leaked from Chinese laboratories
The data also suggests that by the time London implemented lockdown measures including “social distance” and “working from home”, the “R” rate had already fallen in London.
However, in some parts of the UK the numbers were high during the blockage of the country, with London’s “R” rate of 2.3 on March 23, while North East and Yorkshire had 3.4. This data was released this week by the Department of Biostatistics, Medical Research Council, University of Cambridge, not the government.
Tory MP’s Steve Baker said the government needed full and open disclosure of the underlying advice and data, allowing the country to have full public consultation and making all black-box policy decisions. Has clearly not worked for the country.
On the other hand, different data from researchers at the University of Manchester, 17.3 million You may already have a virus in the UK. This means that the country is close to achieving herd immunity.
For Dr. Adrian Heald, this data implies that the virus may be spread abroad, and the more people are exposed to the virus, the less likely it will be transmitted. Governments should be able to implement local lockdown countermeasures based on regional differences in the figure to avoid the “one size fits all” approach to pandemic protection.
read more: Experts predict that the coronavirus will persist until it infects 70% of the world’s population
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