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The United States has taken more lives this year than last year

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This was thought to be the year the vaccine suppressed the pandemic. Instead, more people died of Covid-19 in the United States than last year before the vaccine became available.

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention as of Tuesday Recorded 386,233 deaths Covid-19 is involved in 2021 compared to 385,343 in 2020. The final number this year will be higher not only because of the more than a month left, but also because it takes time for local agencies to report deaths to the CDC.

Covid-19 also had a higher US mortality rate this year than last year, about 13% compared to 11%.

According to experts, the increase in mortality is not only a lower vaccination rate than most decisively needed, but also mitigation of routine precautions such as masks and social distance, and highly contagious. It is the result of the confluence of factors such as the rise of high delta variants.

In essence, many Americans behave as if Covid-19 is not a crisis, but a manageable endemic, according to public health experts. The migration will eventually happen, but it hasn’t happened yet.

However, many also refuse to receive the number of vaccines needed to move to what scientists call “epidemic.” That is, the virus circulates at low levels with periodic increases and decreases, but does not soar in catastrophic cycles. Characterizes a pandemic. Only 59% of Americans are fully vaccinated, the lowest percentage of the group in seven countries.

Epidemiologist and senior Jennifer Nuzzo said: Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security scholar. “Without any protection, there are viruses that can move faster, there is a dangerous gap in immunity, and unfortunately many serious illnesses and deaths continue.”

Dr. Celine Gounder, an infectious disease specialist at the Bellevue Hospital Center, estimated that about 15% of the US population may be immune to previous infections. It is not as powerful or durable as vaccine immunity.

Many of those people are also vaccinated, but the two groups do not overlap, and even if 74% of Americans have some immunity, it is still not enough to end the pandemic. Said Dr. Gounder. She said it would probably take 85 to 90 percent of the vaccination rate to make the coronavirus endemic.

“When the vaccine went on sale, people in their hearts said,’Covid is over,'” said Dr. Gonder. “Therefore, even if a sufficient number of people have not been vaccinated, their behavior will return to normal (at least for some) and changes in their behavior will increase infection.”

Some media outlets reported last week that they confirmed that 2021 deaths exceeded 2020 deaths. These reports are based on the number of deaths based on the time of the report, not the time of the death. That is, some deaths from late 2020 were counted in early 2021. The CDC count, which did not indicate that it had reached that mark until this week, is even higher. They are accurate because they are based on the date of the death certificate.

Sources

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2/ https://www.nytimes.com/2021/11/23/world/united-states-death-toll-covid.html

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