Health
Covid-19 deaths could exceed 18,000 in India, according to public health experts
May 27, Bengaluru (PTI) COVID-19 cases peaked in India in early July, with more than 18,000 deaths from pandemics, according to epidemiologists and public health experts.
The country is still on the rise, and Professor D Pravakarang, director of the Centers for Chronic Disease Control (CCCC), said.
Prava Kallan, who is also a professor of epidemiology at the London Hygiene and Tropical University in England, said when asked about his assessment of the ultimate death of COVID-19 in India, a single number could not be.
It peaks in early July.
It was based on studies of various public models and told PTI on Wednesday that it observed how epidemics went up and down in other countries.
According to a part-time professor at the School of Public Health at Emory University Rawlins, approximately 40-60,000 cases are expected, with an average mortality rate of 3% and India (COVID-19 deaths) of approximately 12,000-18,000. It is. In the United States.
Regarding India’s low mortality rate and possible reasons, he said he would find out if mortality was really low when the epidemic ended.
However, mortality seems low due to limited data.
To me, I think that younger people in India are younger than those in Italy and the United States. Vice President of Research and Policy at the Indian Public Health Foundation (PHFI) says he is also a Professor of Epidemiology.
Age is an important risk factor, and older people are more likely to have these problems.
Other reasons, such as universal BCG vaccination, malaria epidemics, exposure to recurrent infections, unhealthy conditions that boost immunity, and heat are involved, but there is no clear evidence of their role. He added.
GVS Mercy, director of the Indian Institute of Public Health Hyderabad, reported that Sri Lanka has the lowest mortality rate in South Asia (40,000), while India, Singapore, Pakistan, Bangladesh, and Malaysia. So the mortality rate per million people is similarly low.
Professor Mercy said it would be difficult to say why mortality rates are low in these countries.
All of these countries have started community lockdowns early in the pandemic process. As a result, unlike Europe and the United States, where such measures have been delayed, it is possible that contact with active cases of COVID-19 has been reduced.
Evidence available globally and in India shows that the risk of death is highest among people over the age of 60, he said.
In India, 50% of all COVID-19 deaths are from people over the age of 60.
The proportion of the population over the age of 60 in India is 9.9%, compared to 22.4% in the United States, 24.1% in the United Kingdom and 29.4% in Italy.
Early lockdown has significantly reduced exposure of this high-risk population in India, along with people with comorbidities such as diabetes and high blood pressure.
This could be a major cause of low mortality, Professor Mercy told PTI.
He added that in two weeks dengue fever, malaria, and diarrhea would start causing havoc.
The lessons learned from COVID-19 on the importance of personal hygiene and self-care are the beliefs for controlling the negative effects of infectious diseases. PTI RS ROH ROH
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