Connect with us

Health

Pamplin Media Group – New Oregon estimate: 20,000 infected with coronavirus, per state

 


The state’s newest epidemiological report says that a trend of declining infections and COVID-19 hospitalizations could reverse.


OREGON HEALTH AUTHORITY - One scenario in the state's latest modeling shows infections could begin to rise (red line) depending on how Oregon reopens. It's unclear whether reopening will lead to a trend above or below the projection.The number of people who’ve been infected by the coronavirus is roughly twice as much as previously thought, according to the latest estimate released by the Oregon Health Authority.

Citing new guidance from the federal Centers for Disease Control, state modelers say their best estimate for infections in Oregon is roughly 20,000, a significant jump from the more than 10,000 estimated by state modelers two weeks ago.

The new estimate does not indicate a worsening of the disease. Rather, it represents new research indicating how often the virus goes undetected.

The report does, however, suggest a worsening of the disease is likely in the wake of the state beginning to reopen. It estimates that a mix of voluntary and goverment-directed social distancing has reduced viral transmission by about 70% from where things would have gone otherwise, and treats that as the baseline.

It projects alternate scenarios for the future, one assuming 60% reduction from baseline and another assuming 50% from baseline. It does not say which is more likely, noting that its data only extends to May 22 and would not capture changes due to the lag time in diagnosis and testing.

Under the 60% reduction from baseline scenario, new infections would hold roughly steady at about 50 a day by July 3, rather than the 15 per day Oregon would have seen had it not begun reopening.

Under the 50% scenario, by July 3 new infections would reach 155 each day.

The report notes that all of its estimates represent a rough probability, one the state’s modelers are 80% confident in. For example, the actual range of likely infections is 14,400 to 27,300 according to the report.

Click here to read the report.

(This article will be updated later today.)


You count on us to stay informed and we depend on you to fund our efforts. Quality local journalism takes time and money. Please support us to protect the future of community journalism.

.

What Are The Main Benefits Of Comparing Car Insurance Quotes Online

LOS ANGELES, CA / ACCESSWIRE / June 24, 2020, / Compare-autoinsurance.Org has launched a new blog post that presents the main benefits of comparing multiple car insurance quotes. For more info and free online quotes, please visit https://compare-autoinsurance.Org/the-advantages-of-comparing-prices-with-car-insurance-quotes-online/ The modern society has numerous technological advantages. One important advantage is the speed at which information is sent and received. With the help of the internet, the shopping habits of many persons have drastically changed. The car insurance industry hasn't remained untouched by these changes. On the internet, drivers can compare insurance prices and find out which sellers have the best offers. View photos The advantages of comparing online car insurance quotes are the following: Online quotes can be obtained from anywhere and at any time. Unlike physical insurance agencies, websites don't have a specific schedule and they are available at any time. Drivers that have busy working schedules, can compare quotes from anywhere and at any time, even at midnight. Multiple choices. Almost all insurance providers, no matter if they are well-known brands or just local insurers, have an online presence. Online quotes will allow policyholders the chance to discover multiple insurance companies and check their prices. Drivers are no longer required to get quotes from just a few known insurance companies. Also, local and regional insurers can provide lower insurance rates for the same services. Accurate insurance estimates. Online quotes can only be accurate if the customers provide accurate and real info about their car models and driving history. Lying about past driving incidents can make the price estimates to be lower, but when dealing with an insurance company lying to them is useless. Usually, insurance companies will do research about a potential customer before granting him coverage. Online quotes can be sorted easily. Although drivers are recommended to not choose a policy just based on its price, drivers can easily sort quotes by insurance price. Using brokerage websites will allow drivers to get quotes from multiple insurers, thus making the comparison faster and easier. For additional info, money-saving tips, and free car insurance quotes, visit https://compare-autoinsurance.Org/ Compare-autoinsurance.Org is an online provider of life, home, health, and auto insurance quotes. This website is unique because it does not simply stick to one kind of insurance provider, but brings the clients the best deals from many different online insurance carriers. In this way, clients have access to offers from multiple carriers all in one place: this website. On this site, customers have access to quotes for insurance plans from various agencies, such as local or nationwide agencies, brand names insurance companies, etc. "Online quotes can easily help drivers obtain better car insurance deals. All they have to do is to complete an online form with accurate and real info, then compare prices", said Russell Rabichev, Marketing Director of Internet Marketing Company. CONTACT: Company Name: Internet Marketing CompanyPerson for contact Name: Gurgu CPhone Number: (818) 359-3898Email: [email protected]: https://compare-autoinsurance.Org/ SOURCE: Compare-autoinsurance.Org View source version on accesswire.Com:https://www.Accesswire.Com/595055/What-Are-The-Main-Benefits-Of-Comparing-Car-Insurance-Quotes-Online View photos



Pictures Credit

ExBUlletin

to request, modification Contact us at Here or [email protected]