Health
Covid-19 cases reported daily include the possibility of reinfection
The reinfection of ovid-19 is included for the first time in the government’s daily coronavirus figures.
The number of cases reported in the United Kingdom is currently England When Northern Ireland With data Scotland When Wales It will be added in the near future.
Reinfection is defined as a person who tests positive for Covid-19 more than 90 days after a previous positive result.
Positive tests within 90 days of the previous test are counted as part of the same “infection episode”.
So far, the number of cases per day has only included those who were first reported positive for the virus.
This change applies to previous data on the dashboard and shows the number of cases by date of the sample (when a person is tested positive), but historical data of cases reported daily. not.
However, the cumulative number of UK cases since the onset of the pandemic has been adjusted to incorporate all possible reinfections.
It has surged from 16.5 million as of January 30 to 17.3 million as of January 31.
Of the 14.8 million episodes of infection in the United Kingdom since the outbreak of the pandemic, approximately 588,114 (4.0%) could be re-infected.
The reinfection rate in the United Kingdom averaged about 1.4% for cases up to 16 November 2021. Then, following the arrival of the Omicron variant of the virus, the number of infectious episodes surged.
Reinfection now accounts for about 10% of episodes per day. For example, of the 108,882 cases in the United Kingdom with a sample date of January 24, 11,167 (10.3%) are classified as possible reinfection.
Estimates of reinfection have been available since last year in a weekly surveillance report from the UK National Security Agency (HSA).
“As the pandemic continues and more variants emerge, people are more likely to be re-infected with Covid-19,” HSA said.
“The UK Public Health Authority is currently updating monitoring data to count infected episodes, including re-infected episodes.
“Our daily reporting process is right to reflect how the virus has changed.”
Although the number of cases published daily is slightly higher than before, the actual number of cases infected with the virus is still underreported.
This is because the dashboard data is based only on those who report a positive virus test. Therefore, it is affected by the number of people who decide to take the test, the number of people who choose to report the results, and the number. They take the test because they know they have symptoms.
The most reliable estimates of the number of cases of coronavirus per day nationwide are published as part of a weekly infection survey by the National Bureau of Statistics (ONS).
For example, in the United Kingdom, from January 2nd to 8th, an average of 154,500 cases were recorded daily for each sample date. government Dashboard with potential reinfection.
However, according to ONS, the actual number could be close to 311,500 per day.
Estimating the reinfection rate helps determine how rapidly immunity is declining across the country. Therefore, importantly, it may be necessary to consider further booster immunization.
Their estimates are based on an analysis of nasal and throat swabs taken from a representative sample of more than 150,000 individual households.
The same people are sampled weekly, whether they know they have Covid-19 or report positive results.
Paul Hunter, a professor of health protection at the University of East Anglia, said that the increasing number of reinfections since the advent of Omicron variants is “no longer tolerable” to not report them in official figures. Said that it means.
“The rate of all infections due to reinfection is still relatively small, but this rate is increasing and this can be expected to grow,” he said.
“So far, the addition of reinfection has not significantly changed the rate of increase or decrease in epidemics in recent weeks. Fortunately, reinfection is usually not always, but primary infection. It is less severe than, and as a result, as the daily infection re-infects, Covid’s severity can be expected to decrease further. “
Rowland Kao, a professor of veterinary epidemiology and data science at the University of Edinburgh, says the high number of reinfections is likely to reflect a “huge number” of people already infected. Protection is also declining. “
He added: “Estimating the reinfection rate helps determine how rapidly immunity is declining across the country.
“The important thing to remember is that the total number of infections recorded varies, but the number we are most concerned about is the number of individuals and the number of deaths with serious consequences. Widely good news. Will be. “
Sources 2/ https://www.standard.co.uk/news/uk/england-northern-ireland-scotland-wales-government-b979949.html The mention sources can contact us to remove/changing this article |
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