Health
Climate change may promote the spread of the virus among mammals, studies say
April 29, 2022-Climate change dramatically increases the likelihood that a large number of wildlife will move over the next 50 years and that the virus will jump from one mammal to another, including humans, a new study Says.
Using computer modeling, researchers predict that if the world warms only 2 degrees Celsius (3.6 degrees Fahrenheit), 3,139 mammal species, including densely populated areas, will seek new habitats by 2070. Did.
When different species come into contact for the first time, about 4,000 viruses move from one species to another. Studies published in Nature.. Birds and marine animals were not included in the study.
Africa and Southeast Asia are the most affected, and bats have the ability to fly long distances, thus spreading most of the virus.
Wildlife trading is a good example because animals are collected in unnatural combinations. Colin Carlson, lead author of the study and assistant professor at the Global Health Sciences and Security Center at Georgetown University-Medical Center, Said in a college news release..
“But markets are no longer special. In a changing climate, such a process will become a natural reality almost everywhere,” says Carlson.
Studies show that this process is already underway, and maintaining warming below 2 degrees Celsius, one of the benchmarks for the 2015 Paris Agreement, will not prevent it from continuing.
HIV When Ebola It spreads from animals to humans.Scientists believe SARS-CoV-2- coronavirus The cause of COVID-19 may have leapt from bats to humans via another mammalian species sold in the Wuhan market in China.
Researchers said the International Health Organization should adopt a tactic that combines wildlife disease monitoring with real-time research on environmental change.
“When the Brazilian free-tailed bat reaches Appalachia, we need to invest in knowing which virus is tagged,” Carlson said in a news release. “Trying to find these host jumps in real time is the only way we can prevent this process from leading to increased spillover and pandemics.”
Christine Johnson, an epidemiologist at the University of California, Davis, said: New York Times Such extensive models cannot explain how climate change affects animals in specific locations. She said the study showed the need for more locally grounded fieldwork on how animals move.
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