Health
Oregon COVID-19 activity is expected to continue to grow in July
The new COVID-19 forecast was scheduled to be released on Friday, but OHSU forecasters are still working on new details. He said he should expect an increase in COVID in July.
Portland, Oregon — New COVID-19 (new coronavirus infection) The Oregon forecast was scheduled to be released on Friday, but the chief forecaster at Oregon Health & Science University is still working on some new details. He said he hopes COVID will continue to spread until July.
The pandemic has undergone unexpected changes over the last two years, so it can be difficult to predict what to expect next month. In fact, OHSU’s Peter Graven is working on a holiday weekend to get a complete picture of the July outlook in Oregon.
Recent additions that Graven is considering are the Omicron subvariants BA.4 and BA.5. Both of these became stronger in Oregon after first staying in the background the week before BA.2 and BA.2.12.1 were driving most. For states.
“I didn’t know exactly what the impact would be,” he said Friday afternoon. “There was some speculation, but now I think there is a pretty good idea that the infection rate will increase somewhat.”
In fact, health officials say two slightly new subvariants are involved in more than half of the new cases in the state.
Due to the widespread spread, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention has increased the risk level of COVID-19 infection in most Oregon counties, including the most populous areas of Oregon.
Dr. Paul Sirak of the Oregon Department of Health said he was not surprised by the CDC’s view.
“Many people are infected with COVID and some people are hospitalized with COVID, probably mainly unvaccinated, or severe despite vaccination due to underlying health conditions. We are spreading it to people at risk of serious illness, “he said. ..
Number of COVID-19 patients in Oregon hospitals Soaring last week After hovering about 300 before from late May. With Thursday’s latest daily count, that number is 418.
Graven’s predictions for the past few weeks predicted a plateau in mid-June and hospitalizations did not increase significantly, but the BA.2.12.1 subvariant overturned that prediction, he said.
“This has only almost extended the time to such a high infection rate, and we expect BA.4 and 5 to do the same,” he said.
However, there is an important background to the number of hospitalizations. According to experts, more than half were accidental cases, and people went to the hospital for something else and became virus-positive when tested.
This tells health authorities that the type of COVID cases produced by the new Omicron submutant appears to have a lower incidence of serious illness. Deaths have also dropped significantly compared to previous surges such as the Delta and the first Omicron waves.
Sources 2/ https://www.kgw.com/article/news/health/coronavirus/forecast-delayed-oregon-covid-activity-growing-july/283-0c3d8a77-4025-414f-bd8f-247b7b726e02 The mention sources can contact us to remove/changing this article |
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