Health
Americans at home before being told to save lives
Video above: US Prepared for July 4th in a Pandemic If you are one of the Americans determined to self-separate before being mandated by state or local government duty, you save lives. It was It’s a discovery of a study published in a journal on Monday, Lancet: Infectious Diseases,” using cell phone data and how people acted between January 1 and April 20. Was tracked. Homes may have helped delay the spread of coronaviruses before state or local home orders were fulfilled by governmental authorities, except for the required outings of food and medicines. The rapid prevalence of individual behavior was first reported within four months in the United States, where the disease spread to all states and to more than 90% of all counties. The study found that social distance measurements and coronavirus slowdowns were primarily caused by personal changes. Note that state and federal regulations were either implemented too late or not at all. And then all actions and local regulations. In all 25 counties assessed in the survey, individuals did not move as long as 6-29 days before the state-wide home order was placed. According to research author Lauren Gardner, an associate professor at the Department of Civil Engineering at Johns Hopkins Whiting School, mobile phone data across 21 counties has made it possible to move at a personal level even before a home-based order is placed locally. It turns out that is decreasing. Is there a good way to track my behavior using cell phone data? They are “a pretty good indicator of travel patterns, as telephones are often carried by people in question,” Flavio Toxvaerd, economics instructor at the Interdisciplinary Research Center, Cambridge University, said in an email. From late January to mid-April, we found that this study reduced people’s daily movements by various amounts. In New York City, people have reduced their normal activities by 35%. People in Harris County, Houston, reduced activity by a typical 63%, but the study found that it took an average of 9-12 days to begin to affect the infection rate. The Gardner team says that the strong link between social distance and reduced infection rates means that returning to normal mobility across the country creates a significant risk of increased infections. “Obviously, the information here is key,” said Toksbad, after people began to resume normal activities. “If you don’t know what they are, you can’t respond to changing infection risks.” There are things that information may not change. “For those people, we may have to provide incentives for the desired social distance.” For example, actions such as fines or inviting them to stay home. “Some restrictions This study did not distinguish between low-risk trips such as going to a park and high-risk trips such as going to a grocery store. Including sociodemographic information, the researchers say We were unable to separate information from the elderly, people with medical disabilities, and communities that were more difficult to keep social distance.” If level directives are implemented, COVID-19 can be circulated in most places for additional weeks unabated, inevitably leading to increased infection and death.” Gardner “Without Government Orders But it is within the power of each resident in the United States that helps slow the spread of COVID-19,” she added.
Video above: US ready for July 4th during a pandemic
You saved lives if you were one of the Americans who decided to self-separate before being required by state or local duty.
It’s a discovery Study published on Monday In the journal The Lancet: Infectious Diseases, we used mobile phone data to track how people behaved between January 1st and April 20th.
Studies show that individual decisions to stay home, with the exception of food and drug outages required, could help delay the spread of coronaviruses before state or local home orders were enforced by government authorities. I found that.
Rapid spread slowed down by personal behavior
Within four months of the first reported COVID-19 in the United States, the disease spread to all states and to more than 90% of all counties.
The study notes that measuring social distances and slowing coronaviruses are primarily due to changes in personal behavior and local regulations, with state and federal regulations either being implemented too late or not being implemented at all. did.
In all 25 counties assessed in the survey, individuals did not move for 6-29 days before the state-wide home order was placed.
According to research author Lauren Gardner, an associate professor of the Department of Civil Engineering at Johns Hopkins Whiting School, mobile phone data across 21 counties at a personal level, even before a local home order was placed. It turns out that mobility is decreasing. Of engineering.
Is it a good way to track behavior using cell phone data?
“Telephones are often a good indicator of travel patterns because they are often carried by the person in question,” Flavio Toxbard, an economics lecturer at the Interdisciplinary Research Center at Cambridge University, said in an email. ..
“In any case, the results are the same as those found using other data, such as transaction data from credit cards,” said Toxbard, who was not involved in the study.
From late January to mid-April, research found that people reduced daily activity by varying amounts. In New York City, people have reduced their normal activities by 35%. People in Harris County in Houston have reduced their activity by 63% of the typical one.
In this study, it took on average about 9-12 days to affect the infection rate. This is partly consistent with the virus’s 5-14 day incubation period.
Gardner’s team says that the strong association between social distance and reduced infection rates means that reverting to normal mobility across the country creates a significant risk of increased infections. ..
“Yes, the information here is key,” Toxvard said. “If we don’t know the changes in infection risk, we cannot respond to changes in infection risk.
“There are things that information may not change,” he added. “For those people, we may have to provide incentives for actions that favor desirable social distances, for example through fines and the temptation to stay home.”
Some restrictions
The study does not distinguish between low-risk trips like going to a park and high-risk trips like going to a grocery store. Because the data did not include sociodemographic information, researchers were able to identify elderly people, who may have more difficult Couldn’t separate information about people.
“If there is no individual or local action and social distance action is delayed until the state-level directives are implemented, COVID-19 can be distributed in most places for additional weeks without being mitigated. Yes, and inevitably, the number of infectious diseases will increase and we will die.”
“Helping to delay the spread of COVID-19 is within the power of each U.S. resident, even without a government order,” she added.
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