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Four-Day Two-Digit Coronavirus Mortality in Washington: How to Interpret the Data

 


Ryan Bressen

For the first time since May, Washington has reported double-digit COVID-19 deaths for the past four consecutive days. By the end of Sunday, 11 dead were confirmed. ..

While these apparent spikes can be alarming, public health experts say that daily tally does not paint many pictures on its own.

It is useful to observe rolling averages over a longer period. This is a trend line known as the “epidemiological curve”.

“It really tells them when they first got sick, and if we see something like increased activity,” said Dr. Kathy Loffie, a Washington health official. “. “And I don’t see a big rise in the epidemiological curve for any date or timeframe.”

When looking at the COVID-19 case or death chartFind the line that crosses the vertical bar. Each point on this line represents the daily average for the last 14 days.

This daily diagnosis and rolling average of deaths provides a more accurate picture of virus spread and mortality. In particular, you won’t get confused at a place or place for a day, especially when the numbers are high or low.

Over the past two weeks, Washington has reported an average of eight deaths per day. In peak April, this average fluctuated between 20 and 25 deaths per day. It has not exceeded 10 since May.

As of 11:59 pm Wednesday, 1,409 people in Washington died of COVID-19. This is 3.7% of the 38,581 cases confirmed in the state.

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