Health
Holidays didn’t lead to feared bump in flu cases, CDC says
NEW YORK >> New US government data suggests holiday gatherings did not cause a spike in respiratory illnesses.
The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention today reported a six-week drop in clinic visits with flu-like illnesses. Reports of respiratory syncytial virus, a common cause of severe cold-like symptoms in young children and the elderly, are also declining.
When flu and RSV spiked in the fall and overwhelmed pediatric emergency rooms, some doctors warned that the winter would be the flu, RSV, COVID-19 (new coronavirus infectious disease)And they were worried that the holiday get-together would be a trigger.
But apparently that didn’t happen.
“Right now, everything is going downhill,” said CDC’s Lynette Brammer, who leads the agency’s flu tracking in the United States.
Hospitalizations for RSV have decreased since November, and hospitalizations for influenza have also decreased.
Of course, the situation is not uniform across the country, with some places experiencing more illnesses than others. But some doctors say the number of patients is declining.
Ethan Wiener, MD, pediatric ER physician at Hassenfeld Children’s Hospital, NYU Langone, New York City, said:
“It’s been very slow,” said Dr. Jason Newland, a pediatric infectious disease doctor at St. Louis Children’s Hospital in Missouri.
Newland said he wasn’t surprised by the downward trend in flu and respiratory syncytial virus in recent weeks, but added, “The question is what will COVID do?”
Hospitalizations for COVID-19 increased through December, including the week after Christmas. While one set of CDC data appears to show they’re trending downward after the new year, an agency spokesperson said another count was up as of last week. Due to late reporting, it could be weeks before the CDC can be confident that hospitalizations for COVID-19 have actually started to decline, she said. .
Newland said there was an increase in COVID-19 traffic at St. Louis Children’s in December. But he noted that the situation was very different from a year ago, when the then-new Omicron variant was causing the biggest spike in hospitalizations for COVID-19 since the pandemic began.
“That was the worst,” he said.
The fall RSV and influenza surge was felt most acutely at children’s medical centers. Wiener said traffic at Hassenfeld’s pediatric emergency department was 50% above his normal levels in October, November and December, “the highest volume ever” for that time of year. It says.
The surge in RSV and influenza likely abated as so many members of the vulnerable population were infected, he said.
It makes sense that a respiratory infection could come back during holiday travel or gatherings, but it’s not exactly clear why that didn’t happen.
That said, flu season isn’t over yet. With 36 states still reporting high or very high flu activity, experts say there’s always a chance a second wave of illness is still ahead.
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