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Swedish COVID-19: 3 scenarios for next year adoption, immunity guidance

 



By NewsDesk Azuki

COVID-19 Diffusion Scenario

Swedish Public Health Service Developed a scenario What will be the spread of COVID-19 in Sweden next year?

This report presents three scenarios for the continued spread of COVID-19 in the following year through September 1, 2021. The simulated development is based on all scenarios of cases reported between February 23 and July 4, 2020.

Scenario 0 shows progress where the current low level of infection spread persists, resulting in a reduction in spread. Scenario 1 shows a spread that increases sharply in the fall of 2020 and then decreases rapidly. Scenario 2 shows a longer, evenly increasing spread.

The scenario is contained in the Government’s assignment “Planning a New Outbreak of COVID-19” and forms the basis for the plans of the Swedish Public Health Service, the Drug Agency, the County Administrative Commission, the MSB and the National Health Commission. will do. And welfare.

Guidance on immune evaluation after COVID-19 infection

Swedish Public Health Service I created a guide This will clarify who is determined to have some immunity to COVID-19 and what it means to be in close contact with others.

Previously, tests were shown to have antibodies to COVID-19 before being said to have some form of immunity. The Swedish Public Health Agency now assesses that even people with confirmed COVID-19 infections, confirmed by PCR tests, have a very low risk of getting re-emergent at least 6 months ago. Not all people with COVID-19 develop measurable levels of antibodies in their blood, but they probably do develop some form of immune response.

If you are determined to have some form of immunity according to the criteria of the new guidelines and you are completely free of symptoms of COVID-19, then you are at a lower risk of infection and therefore a lower risk of transmission. To It also means the opportunity to interact with others, whether indoors or not, whether or not they are in a risk group. Please note that each person must always assess their own risk before relating to others, and that general infection control measures applicable in society and at work must be maintained. Healthcare must continue to follow hygiene and personal protective equipment routines.

This guidance is intended for regions and municipalities that develop support for various activities on immune issues.

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