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Heart disease incidence and health care costs to soar in the U.S. by 2050 | Cardiology | JAMA

Heart disease incidence and health care costs to soar in the U.S. by 2050 | Cardiology | JAMA

 


By 2050, more than 180 million American adults, or about 60 percent, will have some form of heart or vascular disease, including high blood pressure. prediction Based on the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey conducted from 2015 to 2020. In addition, rising disease-related medical expenses and productivity losses are expected to cost billions of dollars each year, totaling approximately $1.8 trillion per year by 2050, along with study Published in Circulation found.

The researchers predict that some risk factors for cardiovascular disease and stroke, such as high cholesterol rates, will probably decline over the coming decades, but others, such as the prevalence of high blood pressure and obesity, will rise dramatically, by more than 50 percent overall and by more than 80 percent among blacks and older adults.

The researchers explained that population ageing is a major factor in the projected trends, along with an increasingly diverse population, leading to growing inequalities and disparities in risk factors and outcomes.

Online publication: June 28, 2024. doi:10.1001/jama.2024.11026

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