Health
By early May, there were approximately 64 Covid-19 infections in India: National Serum Survey
More than 64 Indians were exposed to Covid-19, compared to the official count of about 62,000 on May 10-100-fold surge-the virus spread quietly in the early months of the epidemic It indicates that it has escaped from the detection network.
This is the result of a previously unpublished serological study by the Indian Medical Research Council, despite the government sharing some points from the study at a press conference in June.
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“A cumulative total of 6,468,388 adults have been estimated to be infected in India by early May,” a study found in the Indian Journal of Medical Research said.
For comparison, there were more than 56,000 confirmed test cases on May 8 and increased to 62,000 on May 10.
While disclosing the findings at a press conference in June, neither ICMR Executive Director Balram Bhargava nor NITI Ayog member Vinod Paul revealed a figure of Rs 640,000.
A study screening 28,000 people from 70 districts in 21 states found that each case of Covid-19 confirmed by the test had undocumented 82-130 cases of infection. Nationally, the seropositive rate is 0.73%, suggesting the vulnerabilities of most adults.
“Survey results show that India’s overall serum prevalence was low, with less than 1% of the adult population exposed to SARS-CoV-2 by mid-May 2020. The low prevalence observed in the district indicates that India is in an early stage of epidemics, and most of India’s population is still susceptible to SARS-CoV-2 infection. ” The report said.
However, some serum studies conducted by the state found antibodies to Covid-19 in 29% of Delhi, 16% of Mumbai, 51% of Pune, 28% of Punjab, and 21% within the community. In Chennai it was shown that the virus had spread much more. In Mumbai slums, the serum positive rate reaches 57%.
The study estimates that the case fatality rate of infection, or mortality in the total number of infections, also ranges from 0.0018% in the lowest prevalence area on May 24 to 0.11% in the highest prevalence area. I am. The number has been changed to 0.0027 from% on June 1st to 0.15%.
However, ICMR scientists acknowledged that the number of deaths may be underestimated due to the inaccurate and incomplete system of death reporting. Currently, the case fatality rate in India, which is the mortality rate of Covid-19 cases in the laboratory, is 1.7%.
Earlier this month, ICMR conducted a second serum survey in the same area, but this time it has expanded its base. All members of the family were sampled, unlike the first family in which only one was selected from each family. Results may be announced next month.
Meanwhile, the number of positive cases and the number of deaths from Covid-19 are steadily increasing. On Friday, 96,551 new cases were reported to have aggregated to 45.62 lakh. For the first time, more than 1,200 deaths were recorded as tolls reached 76271.
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