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Coronavirus: “Since April, there is more concern than it is now.”



Professor Philip Nolan warns that the number of Covid-19 cases is rising exponentially and that pandemics cannot be suppressed unless all citizens of the state take immediate action to reduce contact.

Professor Nolan, chair of the Epidemiological Modeling Advisory Group of the National Public Health Emergency Team (NPHET), gave a tough presentation to reporters on Wednesday.

On Wednesday, the Ministry of Health confirmed an additional 254 cases, of which 136 were outbreaks in Dublin, and three more were killed by the virus. Hospitalizations have quadrupled since August and have doubled every other week, Professor Nolan said.

He said infections have increased across all age groups and the virus is now common in people over the age of 65. He added that there will be higher mortality rates in the coming weeks unless urgent action is taken.

“10% of the cases over the last 14 days were over 65,” he said. “It is completely impossible for us to protect them, or to protect ourselves from the very high levels of this disease of the general population.”

“I’m more concerned at this point than at any point since late April,” said Professor Nolan. The incidence in Dublin has increased four to five times in recent weeks, but has tripled across the country.

“We believe that the number of reproductions is somewhere in 1.3 and 1.7 across the country, so the disease is spreading rapidly,” he said. “Growth is 5-7% per day, which means that the disease is doubling every 10-14 days at this point.

“If the recall remains at 1.4, we’ll see 500-600 cases per day by October 14. We all need to change our behavior. If the recall is 1.8, we’ll see 10 By the 14th of October, about 1,200 cases can be seen per day.

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