Coronavirus R rate rises to 1.4 in the UK and the number of cases doubles every 7 days

The government’s Sage Commission says the UK’s significant R rate is between 1.1 and 1.4 across the UK, confirming that the number of cases can double every 7 days.

And hospital admissions are skyrocketing, the director of health care in England warned-it’s a sign of “worse things to come”.

If the rate is above 1, it means that the virus is growing and that each infected individual is infected with more than one person.

Only a week ago it was estimated to be 1.0-1.2. Prior to that, R was above 1 in early March.

It comes as a case Approximately 6,000 increase per day In the week leading up to September 10, the rate will almost double that of the previous week, according to new figures from the National Bureau of Statistics.

Yvonne Doyle, Dean of Medicine, School of Public Health, UK, said:

“This could warn us that something even more serious will happen in the future,” he said.

“Our surveillance also suggests that we are seeing a surge of other viruses that cause the common cold.”

Today’s data show that R-values ​​can reach 1.5 in the northwest and midland.

Cases are increasing in London, with an estimated proportion between 1.1 and 1.4, and between 1.2 and 1.4 in Northeast and Yorkshire.

The southwestern region is highly volatile and this number is believed to be between 0.9 and 1.6.

Data from the Covid Sympton Study prior to today Estimated 69,686 people currently have symptomatological Covid-19 -Nearly double last week’s 35,248.

Scientists believe that an additional 7,500 people are infected each day, and this is likely to increase.

In North East and Yorkshire, it is believed to be 13,000 cases (the most common in the UK), with North West lagging behind at 12,500.

The government said in a statement: “R numbers from 1.1 to 1.4 mean that on average, every 10 infected people will be infected between 11 and 14 people.

He added that the number of new infections is increasing by 2% to 7% daily.

After the app’s data was released earlier today, Tim Specter, a professor of genetic epidemiology at King’s College London, said: “The data from the app draws a worrying picture, including cases that are increasing across the UK. The numbers are low because the rules are southwest.

“The data suggest that localized lockdown is the best approach, while there are significant differences between the south and the north as the lockdown takes place in the north of England.

“The numbers in London are on the rise and we need to keep an eye on the situation,” he said.

“This seems like the beginning of the second wave. Encourage as many people as possible to download the app, log in for themselves and their families, and join the 1.5 million people who check in regularly. I am. “

Meanwhile, the second national blockade Coronavirus The Secretary of Health was not excluded, as hospital admissions doubled every eight days.

The blockade of the country is “the last line of defense,” as Matt Hancock responded to reports that the minister was considering further measures for the country, even for just two weeks, including imposing curfew on bars and restaurants. Said there is.

It happens when the minister is criticized for the NHS test and trace system, which has experienced up to four times as many people trying to book tests as the number of tests available.

Experts say that without effective testing and tracing, it would be much more difficult to control the spread of the virus and identify larger outbreaks.

Hancock told the BBC Breakfast that the latest data warned that hospitalizations would double every eight days and that deaths would increase within a few weeks.

It is “absolutely important” for people to attend the rally to follow the rules of no more than six people, but people living under local regulations should be loyal and loyal, he said.

“Also, if people test positive or come into close contact with someone who tests positive, they self-isolate,” he said.

“And if we do all this, we can avoid the need to take serious further steps.”

He said the current approach was “targeted intervention”, but “national blockade is the last line of defense.”