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Coronavirus Superspreader Causes Explosive Outbreak in India

 


The coronavirus superspreader was behind the Covid-19 explosion in India, which has the most cases after the United States, researchers said.

Scientists said in a study published in the journal that a group of patients, including about 8% of confirmed cases in India, later led to nearly two-thirds of the total infection. Science.. The study is based on tracking more than 3 million contacts in Andhra Pradesh and Tamil Nadu by August 1, and is the first major study of infection in developing countries.

Most studies on pandemics are from China, Europe and North America, but are currently in India and elsewhere, according to researchers led by Ramanan Lakshmi Narayan, director of the Center for Disease Dynamics, Economics and Policy, who wrote the study. The number of cases is increasing rapidly in developing countries. .. They said that medical barriers are high in these countries and that Covid is at high risk of serious illness and death.

“Some people are actually infected with the virus in large numbers with this level of information,” Lakshmi Narayan said in an interview. In contrast to the minority of Superspreaders, 71% of confirmed cases were followed, but it was not found to have spread the virus to anyone.

A national serological study showed that 1 in 15 Indians were exposed to the coronavirus. Currently, hospitals in some states are struggling to get the medical oxygen they need to help patients who have difficulty breathing on their own.

Data from scientific research was collected by thousands of contact tracers during the blockade in India. Mass gatherings were banned, schools were closed, and people were ordered to wear face masks in public. The two states of India are home to about 130 million people, accounting for about 10% of the country’s population. India has recorded more than 6.2 million Covid-19 cases.

Close contact for a long time

Both states reported the first SARS-CoV-2 infection on March 5. Healthcare professionals used skills and resources honed from regular tracking of potential HIV and tuberculosis infections to track as many as 80 contacts per confirmed case, Laxminarayan said. ..

According to researchers at Princeton University, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, and the state government of India, prolific SARS-CoV-2 transmitters virus during long periods of close contact by bus or other means of transportation. Tended to spread. With such a setting, the chance of getting infected was 79%.

According to Laxminarayan, this is compared to the one-40th chance of catching the virus from someone in a non-family community. However, children under the age of 14 have been found to have frequent “silent” spreads of the virus, especially to parents and peers.

“This shows that even if the school isn’t functioning, the child-to-child communication seems to be very important. The fact that I have two children myself Needless to say, it’s terrible. Kids home. “

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