Health
According to experts, the Covid-19 vaccine is unlikely to be deployed by the fall of 2021-health
According to experts working in the field of vaccine development, it is unlikely that effective vaccines will be generally available by the fall of 2021.
Researchers at McGill University in Canada conducted a survey of 28 experts working in vaccine science in late June 2020.
The majority of the people surveyed were Canadian or American scholars with an average of 25 years of experience in this area.
In a statement, McGill University professor Jonathan Kimmelman said, “Our research experts provide predictions of vaccine development that are generally less optimistic than the early 2021 timeline presented by U.S. civil servants. I did. “
“In general, they seem to believe that publicly available vaccines next summer are the best scenario and could take up to 2022,” said a senior in a paper published in the Journal of General Internal Medicine. The author, Kimmelman, said.
Many experts also believe that there may be some false start before an effective vaccine is available.
“Experts we surveyed say that vaccines are one-third more likely to receive a safety warning label after approval and four-tenths less likely to be ineffective in the first large field study. I think there is, “added Reed Patrick Kane. The author of the dissertation, a postdoc at McGill University.
The study also showed that about one-third of those surveyed believe that vaccine development is likely to face two major setbacks.
The first vaccines widely deployed in the United States and / or Canada receive a framed warning from the FDA to highlight serious or life-threatening side effects.
They also said that the first large-scale field trials in the United States and / or Canada reported invalid or negative results regarding efficacy.
“Our study found that experts were nearly consensus on the SARS-CoV-2 vaccine timeline,” said Stephen Broomell, an associate professor at Carnegie Mellon University in the United States.
“This is not tracked by many overly optimistic government projections, but researchers reflect the belief that development is actually faster than previous vaccines,” Broomell said in a statement. Stated.
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