Health
Elderly Overweight Man: Trump’s COVID Risk Factors Make him Vulnerable
London / Frankfurt (Reuters)-US President Donald Trump’s gender, age, and weight are all factors that make him more likely to develop severe COVID-19, with the hypothetical risk that about 4% will die of it. Health experts said he was giving him Friday.
However, it is difficult to accurately assess probabilities because factors such as overall fitness and activity levels, existing conditions, and recent medical research can all make a big difference.
According to a working paper from the National Bureau of Economic Research released in July, the risk of death from COVID-19 aged 70-79 years, who are infected but healthy, was 4.6% regardless of gender.
David Spiegelhalter, a professor of risk and statistics expert at the University of Cambridge, UK, cited the COVID-19 survival calculator, which shows the mortality rate of healthy 74-year-old white men with COVID-19 during peak pandemics. In the UK it was 3% to 4% earlier this year.
He said the risk would now be “probably somewhat less” as doctors around the world have experience in treating the disease.
Michael Head, a professor of global health at the University of Southampton, UK, said: “The president’s profile classifies him as vulnerable. He is 74 years old and is said to be overweight.”
According to data released in August by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), information provided by White House doctors in June puts the 74-year-old president in the obesity category and hospital treatment. The risk you need is tripled.
Golf and walking
According to CDC data, healthy people aged 65 to 74 years infected with the coronavirus are 90 times more likely to die than people aged 18 to 29 years.
Julian Tan, a respiratory science expert at the University of Leicester, said, apart from age and obesity, “other existing conditions such as diabetes, high blood pressure, and other chronic heart and lung diseases are serious COVID-19 diseases. It may lead to. “
However, Naveed Sattar, a professor of metabolic medicine at the University of Glasgow, said Trump did not report chronic illness and was reasonably active-as he plays golf frequently and walks actively. It looks-this may offset some risks.
The CDC data also doesn’t take into account the state-of-the-art care that the president may receive, but medical professionals have warned Trump’s doctors not to treat them differently from similar patients.
“I advise them: don’t deviate from your standard protocol-that’s when a mistake happens and you’re starting an experiment,” said Barrat Pancania, senior clinical lecturer at the University of Exeter School of Medicine in the United Kingdom. Said.
“Just because he happened to be president, this is neither the time nor the place to experiment.”
Many possible COVID-19 therapeutic approaches are currently being tested in late trials, including manufactured antibodies designed to prevent coronavirus from invading cells.
Pancania said the standard protocol is to “monitor and act as needed.”
“Oxygen is the usual thing we need to do when needed,” he said. “And if the patient needs oxygen support, there may be some benefits from giving the steroid dexamethasone.”
Generic anti-inflammatory drug and Gilliad GILD.O Antiviral remdesivir is the only drug approved for the treatment of inpatient COVID-19 patients.
Reported by Kate Kelland in London and Ludwig Burger in Frankfurt.Edited by Josephine Mason and Kevin Riffy
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