Northwest covid hospitalization could double its April peak within a few weeks

The current increase in coronavirus infections, if unchecked, would overwhelm hospitals in the northwest, the director of public health warned.

Professor Dominique Harrison of the Blackburn and Darwen Council said the increase in Covid-19 cases across the region has now reached a “critical point.”

In recent weeks, Autonomous Regions, Hyndburn, Burnley, Preston and Pendle have regularly appeared in the top 20 national infection rates.

His warning came on Tuesday when the East Lancashire NHS Hospital Trust began posting notifications on social media. It was so busy that I asked people to avoid the accident and emergency department at Royal Blackburn Hospital.

Professor Harrison is concerned that the current high rate of Covid-19 infections has led to higher hospitalization levels.

His prediction is that the new coronavirus restrictions in the area were being discussed by the Minister and the Director of Public Health in the northwest, so he postponed the originally expected announcement this afternoon until tomorrow or Monday.

Professor Harrison’s analysis, taking into account the 10-14 day delay between positive cases and hospitalization and the failure of the “R” rate of coronavirus infection, concludes: -West of 2,890 on April 13th. This is very likely to happen in 17 to 22 days.

“If there is no change in downward pressure on R over the next 10 days, hospital bed occupancy will begin to approach 6,000 in 30-35 days, which was occupied during the peak northwestern part of April. It’s twice the number of beds. “

Professor Harrison said: “North West England is currently at a critical point for both confirmed Covid-19 cases and increased hospitalizations.

“Despite the various types of additional controls being taken across the region, we see significant daily increases in all regions, and we do not know why they will begin to decline into October.

“If we do not decide to immediately block some kind of regional circuit with financial support to police and local governments, and decisive financial support to affected companies and individuals, we will immediately. You will be in a losing / losing situation.

“We need the government to” call “it as soon as possible. “

Martin Hodison, Deputy Chief Executive Officer of the East Lancashire Hospitals NHS Trust, said:

“But there are emergency response plans, but the hospital remains safe.”

At Westminster Wednesday, Rossendale and Darwen Tory, Congressman Jake Berry, told the Minister:

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