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“Wish the best, but prepare for the worst”




Cases of new coronaviruses in the United States continue to grow, with more than half of the states reporting recent increases. The total number of new COVID-19 cases per day on Tuesday exceeded 52,000. Johns Hopkins University, Because the hospitalization by COVID-19 reached the highest level in a few months. And the pandemic is expected to get worse.

“We’re still in the early stages of the second wave, but the numbers are very worrisome and definitely heading in the wrong direction,” Dr. Thomas Tsai of the Harvard Global Health Institute told Yahoo Finance. “It’s hard to know where this wave ends, but it’s definitely growing … we should expect the best, but be prepared for the worst.”

The magnitude of the second wave is what health authorities are trying to measure, seeing a surge in cases in the Midwest and West. It is estimated that it will be even worse during the winter, as colder temperatures are more likely to attract people indoors and are much more likely to be Institute for Health Metrics, University of WashingtonThe death toll could reach nearly 400,000 by February, almost double the current total of 216,000.

“It’s about the risk of airborne transmission. Longer contact times, that is, more than 15 minutes within 6 feet, increase the risk of approaching an individual. In this situation, the weather gets colder and people go indoors. The more often you are, the more likely it is to occur, “said Tsai.

Currently, 13 states are considered hotspots that will require a stay-at-home order again. Brown School of Public Health COVID-19 Risk Level Dashboard.. To be designated as a hotspot, there are more than 25 positive cases per 100,000 people. Currently, the states with the highest number of cases per 100,000 are North Dakota, South Dakota, Montana, Wisconsin, and Utah.

The second wave can strain the healthcare system

U.S. hospitalizations have reached their highest levels since August 28, according to data from Covid tracking project, Up 17% from the beginning of the month, government officials have expressed concern and warned that the state’s health system could be stressed if residents do not work together to delay its spread.Arkansas Governor Asa Hutchinson I took you to Twitter Ohio Governor Mike DeWine urges residents to “work together to reduce our cases and hospitalizations” Tweet “It is the responsibility of all of us to delay the spread.”

The surge in hospitalizations is alarming, but the US healthcare system has far more equipment to handle the second wave, thanks to better understanding of the virus, more personal protective equipment, and better treatment. It is in place.

“The current situation in the Midwest is different from that seen in New York and Boston in March and April. Regarding the protocol for managing critically ill patients with COVID-19 on ventilator settings. I learned a lot. With some new drugs and treatments available, such as remdecibir and some steroid treatments, some progress has been made regarding the ability to treat COVID-19, and surge capacity. The ability to plan is also improved, “said Tsai.

In mid-October, the next big concern for health officials is the holiday season. Of course, the concern here is that large family gatherings can lead to outbreaks, especially in some countries with high COVID-19 cases and widespread communities.Earlier this week Guidelines issued by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) In order to attend the holiday celebrations, we urged people to consider the location of the meeting, the duration of the meeting, the number of people attending, and the behavior of attendees before and during the meeting.

“We are worried about the coming months of holidays,” Tsai said. “There are also opportunities for indoor get-togethers, which can pose a risk.”

Seana Smith is the anchor for the final round. Follow her on Twitter @SeanaNSmith

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