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The coronavirus pandemic kills nearly 300,000 more than expected in a normal year.

The coronavirus pandemic kills nearly 300,000 more than expected in a normal year.

 


According to the CDC, it is not clear whether this surge is due to a well-recognized shift in covid-19 deaths to younger ages from May to August, or due to other causes.

The report includes just two weeks left in the presidential election, where President Trump’s response to the pandemic is a central issue. Trump has sought everywhere, Including Monday’s remarks, To minimize the effects of the virus, despite the number of deaths from covid-19, which is the third most likely cause of death in the United States after heart disease and cancer this year. On November 3, when the elections were approaching, that attitude proved to be a permanent weakness of the president.

His Democratic opponent, Joe Biden, planned to work on a pandemic and became the main focus of his bid to occupy the White House.

“The number of people dying in this pandemic is higher than we think,” said Stephen Woolf, Honorary Director of the Center for Social and Health at Virginia Commonwealth University, who conducted an independent analysis of excess mortality. Said. “This study shows that, as do others.”

The data cover the period from February 1st to September 16th, which means that over-death has almost certainly reached 300,000. Wolf said it is likely to reach 400,000 by the end of the year. The numbers were collected by the CDC’s unit, the National Center for Health Statistics.

External analysis, including by Researchers at The Washington Post and Yale University, Found two main causes of over-death. Many were probably the result of covid-19, which was not recorded on the death certificate. Others are probably the result of death at home or in a nursing home due to a heart attack, diabetes, stroke and Alzheimer’s disease, among those who are afraid to seek hospital care or cannot get it.

Overall, the CDC has discovered that “every week since March 2020, over-death has occurred.” The peak is in the week of April 11th and another peak is in the week until August 8th. These dates are in close agreement with the virus surge in New York. The second largest rise across metropolitan areas and the Sun Belt near the beginning of the outbreak, when many states reopened too early to revive their flagging economies.

The United States is in the midst of another rapid increase in coronavirus infection, centered on Upper Midwest and Planes. The 7-day moving average for what is considered the most accurate barometer is close to 60,000 per day. According to the report, at least 219,000 people have died from covid-19 so far. Data held by The Washington Post.

Overall, the CDC reported an estimated 285,404 more people died than expected in a normal year.

The virus continues to prey primarily on the elderly, and disproportionately African-American and Latino-American, but over-mortality between the ages of 25 and 44 was less predictable. The increase was 14.6 percent between the ages of 45 and 64, and it was 24.2 percent between the ages of 65 and 74.

Unexpected mortality rates for adults (ages 25-65) at the height of their lives, especially since the surge in drug, alcohol and suicide mortality, has been a going concern in recent years.

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