Health
Coronavirus R rate is highest in the southwest, despite falling to a high of 1.4 across the UK
United Kingdom Coronavirus A new estimate from the government’s scientific adviser is that the R number has dropped slightly to 1.2-1.4.
Breeding “R” numbers may have slowed slightly and daily growth may have slowed, government
Scientists said it suggests that the spread of the infection may have leveled off.
The location with the highest R rate is currently in the southwest of England. This is one of the reasons why the number of areas where tier restrictions are not strict is decreasing.
The Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (Sage) warned that R growth rates across the UK ranged from 3% to 6% per day, and growth remains “almost certainly exponential.”
England’s numbers show a total downturn as millions have plummeted under Tier 2 and Tier 3 limits.
The science group said in a statement: “SAGE is almost certain that the epidemic will continue to grow exponentially across the country.
“The UK and all regions of the UK have R-values above 1.0 and all growth rates are positive, so infectious diseases continue to grow.”
It has the highest R rate in southwest England and remains at Tier 1 of the government blockade system.
The region, which was less affected by the virus through the pandemic, recorded a rate of 1.3 to 1.6.
That’s above the UK average, with daily growth rates of 5% to 9%.
Southeast England follows it in the table-recording rates of 1.2 to 1.5 with growth rates of 4% to 7% daily.
R rates are currently the lowest in London, northwest and northeast of England, and Yorkshire. All of these areas are subject to gradual restrictions, similar to Midland.
According to the latest figures, R in these areas is 1.1-1.3.
If the R number is 1.2 to 1.4, on average every 10 people will be infected with the coronavirus in 12 to 14 people.
An increase of 3% to 6% means that the number of new infections is increasing somewhere in the range per day.
A week ago it was 1.3-1.5 and was growing at a rate of about 4% -7% every day.
The “R” measures virus infection and describes how many people who catch Covid-19 will continue to be infected.
If the R rate exceeds 1.0, it means that the pandemic is expanding in the UK.
The value has been above that level since late August.
The overall death toll in the UK yesterday increased by 189, with an additional 21,242 confirmed cases.
Updated numbers for Friday will be released later.
Earlier today, Warrington became the latest region of England subject to Tier 3 restrictions coming into force next Thursday.
On Friday morning, we will join Manchester, which has moved to the highest alert level, Tier 3, and join the Lancashire and Liverpool City Regions.
Wales will enter a new blockade at 6 pm tonight.
And South Yorkshire will enter Tier 3 on Saturday at 12:01 am.
All or part of Nottinghamshire could enter Tier 3 within a few days as discussions between local leaders and the government intensify.
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