HSE chief says it’s hard to predict winter virus peaks

Health Service Executive CEO Paul Reed said it’s difficult to predict when Covid-19 cases will peak in winter.

However, he said the HSE has not confirmed the previously predicted number of cases and cases at this time, given the positive trends that have emerged in the past week.

Regarding RTÉ’s Morning Ireland, Reed said there was concern among the more vulnerable people over the age of 65 about the “multi-lag effect” in which an increase in the number of cases in young people led to an increase in cases.

He said there has been a steady trend towards hospitalizations and increased cases in the intensive care unit over the past few weeks, despite positive trends such as lower positive rates and reduced social contact.

He said modeling done for the National Public Health Emergency Team would put us at great risk if the country continued that trend: “The increasing number of cases by November will put us at great risk.” Said that.

He has seen the effects of Level 3 measures, “I’m seeing what happened in the past week, its core is starting to be retained, and hopefully everything we’re doing. That lowered it further and they are not seen. ” Predicted volume “.

The story of the latest coronavirus

However, he said caution is needed given the high infection rates in Europe and the increasing hospitalization of older people.

Reed said that if he could sustain progress last week and “change trends” over the next few weeks, he would provide “significant” protection for healthcare services during the winter.

Paul Reid, CEO of HSE, said there was a steady trend in both hospitalization and ICU, and he was “anxious” while managing the situation in Covid-19. https://t.co/1y2ivsU4mY pic.twitter.com/96BasQQcN1

-RTÉ News (@rtenews) October 30, 2020

Reed was asked if the HSE was ready to provide additional support to outbreaking nursing homes, saying that nursing homes are at high risk and about 25 people provide a variety of support. ..

He said the four nursing homes would be at higher risk at this point in terms of broader support, and in the few cases where they had to provide additional staff.

There are 327 Covid-19 patients in the hospital, 42 of whom are being treated in the intensive care unit. This is the highest number of Covid-19 patients in the ICU since May 28, when there were 45 patients in the ICU.

However, the highest price in mid-April was 155.

There have been 23 new hospitalizations in the last 24 hours and 26 patients have been discharged.

As of 8 pm last night, the hospital system had 39 ICU beds.

The number of Covid-positive patients at Naas General Hospital is the highest at 26.

Next, there are 23 Tarato University Hospitals. 22 each from Cork University Hospital and Our Lady of Lourdes in Drogheda. Beaumont Hospital and Connolly Hospital each have 21 Covid-19 patients, and University Hospital Limerick has 20 virus patients.

Since the beginning of the pandemic, the number of cases of Covid-19 in Ireland has exceeded 60,000.

An additional 866 cases were announced yesterday evening, six more died from the virus, and the total number of Covid-related deaths exceeded 1,900.

In 6 of the last 7 days, the number of new Covid-19 cases daily is less than 1,000.

The 866 cases confirmed yesterday totaled 5,861 cases last week, more than 2,200 cases less than the previous week.

This means that about 60,300 cases have been detected here since the pandemic began.

The 14-day incidence per 100,000 population fell again to 292.1 for the third consecutive day.

Dr. Tony Holohan, Chief Medical Officer, acted as if you were intimate and reminded people to stay home, for good reason.

He also said that it is very important to self-isolate anyone who is experiencing symptoms and call their GP.

Additional Report Fergal O’Brien, Laura Hogan