Health
NHS algorithm falsely predicted postponement of cancer treatment during the first Covid wave
However, a new analysis published in the British Medical Journal (BMJ) found that increasing the waiting time to surgery from 6 to 12 weeks increased the risk of death by about 9%.
Scientists at Queen’s University in Ontario and the London School of Economics and Tropical Medicine have found that even a delay of less than four weeks cannot be justified.
Two weeks delay in breast cancer surgery was calculated to increase the risk of death by 4%.
Over a wide range of cancers, a one-month delay before starting treatment, such as chemotherapy or radiation therapy, was associated with an increased risk of death of up to 13 percent.
In the case of surgery, this increased the risk of death by 6-8% for every 4 weeks of treatment delay, but the effect was even more pronounced with some radiation therapies and systemic indications, with a risk of death of 9% and 13%. Increased. For curative head and neck radiation therapy and follow-up systemic treatment for colorectal cancer, respectively.
NHS leaders claimed that medical services would be provided to all patients in need of medical services during a pandemic, but many Cancer consultation and procedures have been postponed During the first wave.
An NHS spokesman said: “”At the peak of the pandemic, more than 125,000 people started treatment for cancer, 95% of whom started within a month of the treatment decision, and the number of people currently receiving treatment has returned to pre-pandemic levels.
“Guidance on cancer surgery was carefully prepared and agreed with various royal universities and surgeons based on the safest options for patients. In fact, another study found that even a short break in treatment resulted in good health. It turns out that it has a very small impact. “
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