Health
ONS data show that there are 48,000 new infections a day in the UK, as experts suggest that the tier system was working.
there were 47,700 new coronavirus cases daily in the United Kingdom in the first week of November, According to the latest figures from the National Bureau of Statistics (ONS).
Data recorded in private households between October 31st and November 6th show an increase from the previous week. 45,700 cases a day..
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According to experts, this figure does not include people staying in hospitals or nursing homes, Tier system for delaying Covid-19 infection Influential before being overtaken Second national blockade in the UK..
Other figures released on Friday show a decline in the R rate, which is the virus’s breeding value. According to the Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (Sage), it is between 1 and 1.2 in the UK and has declined from 1.1 to 1.3 in the last few weeks. It can be less than 1 in Wales, Scotland and some parts of northwest England.
Ann An R below 1 means that the spread of the virus is slowing down.. It is hoped that the British blockade will help achieve this.
Our data
ONS figures show that between October 31st and November 6th, there were an estimated 654,000 (1 in 85) in a private UK household with Covid-19. However, ONS said daily infections were stable at around 50,000.
“England’s positive rate has increased in recent weeks, but the rate of increase is slower than in the previous week,” stats said.
Paul Hunter, a professor of medicine at the University of East Anglia, said the ONS data show that the epidemic “continues to level off” until November 6.
“These results are consistent with other data sources suggesting that the tier system had a beneficial effect on lowering prevalence of infection, with the region with the highest number of municipalities in tier 3 being noted. Deserves (northwestern) there was the most obvious reduction in prevalence. “
Tier 3 restrictions were the strictest of the government’s regional approaches to controlling infections in the fastest growing regions.
According to ONS, the highest infection rates remain in the northwest, Yorkshire and the Humber.
Statement from the Sage subgroup meeting in early NovemberHe also said that the UK’s third-tier measures “had a significant impact on communication.”
However, he said it was not clear if it was enough to reduce the R rate below 1.
Professor Hunter said it was too early to know how the current blockade in Britain was affecting infectious diseases.
Daily highests in the UK
On Thursday, the United Kingdom recorded the highest daily number of coronavirus infections since the pandemic began, the case confirmed in 33,470 laboratories.
Some people The increase can fall to sociable people in the days before the blockade begins But experts warned the public to be careful not to over-read daily statistics.
Professor Hunter said: “If this increase in daily reports of new cases continues for the next few days, it is possible that the five-day increase in socialization from the announcement to the final blockade has led to a surge in infections, which has reduced infections. Benefit from the blockade. Again, today’s ONS report does not contain enough recent data to identify this recent surge. What has happened in the last few days? You have to wait for the next ONS report to know for sure. “
Professor James Nicesmith, director of the Rosalind Franklin Institute, said various recent data, such as ONS numbers and R rates, indicate a slight slowdown in the spread of the coronavirus.
“Today’s R-values ​​indicate that the rate of virus growth is slowing. The virus is still spreading, but much slower.
“In summary, we can conclude earlier this week that the blockade of the region slowed the spread to about 50,000 new cases per day. Stabilization is not a rescue. 50,000 cases per day. Hundreds of people die each day when a case occurs, and these deaths will be tragic, “he added.
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