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Research says closure of coronavirus school has only a small effect on cessation of spread

 


Ah New research According to researchers at the University of London, recent modeling studies of Covid-19 School closed Only 2% to 4% of deaths can be prevented alone, much less than other social distance interventions.
This study, published in The Lancet Child and Adolescent Health’s medical journal late on Monday, reviewed 16 studies that looked at the past SARS epidemicThe evidence that models the spread of MERS, seasonal flu, and other new coronaviruses and supports the nationwide closure of schools to fight Covid-19 was found to be “very weak.”

“Data on SARS outbreaks in mainland China, Hong Kong, and Singapore suggest that school closure did not contribute to controlling the epidemic,” the researchers said.

Of the approximately 45,000 cases first identified in China, No deaths under 10. In the United States, Covid-19 cases in children accounted for less than 2% of the 149,760 cases confirmed by domestic testing from February 12 to April 2.

However, although the symptoms may be milder than those experienced by adults infected with the virus, many governments close schools because children can still spread Covid-19 to more vulnerable people I made a decision.

According to UNESCO, school closures across the country now affect more than 91% of the world’s student population, and around 1.6 billion children and young people. UN agencies have said that 188 countries have implemented nationwide closures.

This is not a capricious decision by policy makers. Past experience has shown that closing schools early in the seasonal flu epidemic can slow the spread of the disease and reduce the number of people ill. However, UCL studies suggest that while this flu is more likely to transmit to children, it is not always true for the development of other illnesses.

Some schools closed for U.S. coronavirus are not returning for rest of school year

Scientists suggest that policymakers need to consider other ‘less disruptive social distance interventions’, especially if long-term pandemic-related restrictions need to be enforced. I am.

Keeping the school open for the children of the key workers, or making the school start and end times amazing, may be a way forward. For example, monitoring students’ health closely, such as through temperature checks, and sending symptomatic children home may be another solution.

However, some experts have warned against jumping to conclusions based on one study.

Director of the MRC Global Infectious Disease Analysis Center in Imperial College London, Epidemiological survey informs British government plan Said to tackle the epidemic Science Media Center UCL researchers did not consider the impact of school closures in combination with other blockades.

“School closure as a stand-alone measure is predicted to have only limited effectiveness in controlling Covid-19 transmission, but when combined with intense social distance, it cuts off remaining contact between homes, It therefore plays an important role in ensuring reduced transmissions. ”

More states extend school closures, some until end of school year

When considering whether to close schools, policymakers must balance the need to protect public health with the disruptive effects that can be caused by such closures .

Scientists are increasingly warning about the potential impact of prolonged school closure on the mental health and well-being of children, and warning that more research is needed.

“The longer schools and universities are closed, the more we endanger the mental health and well-being of vulnerable children and young people due to the situation created by self-isolation and social distance policies.” Catherine Carroll Meehan, Department of Sociology of Education at Portsmouth University, Science Media Center.

Most of the working parents are more likely to take a break because their children are forced to stay at home.

In previous studies in the UK and the United States, 30% of health workers Your child will need to take care if the school is closed. In another study published last week at The Lancet, 1 in 7 frontline healthcare professionals In the United States, if schools in the United States are closed, you may miss work to take care of children.

Another common solution-leaving children to grandparents-is particularly dangerous with Covid-19, because the elderly are among the most vulnerable to the virus.

The economic cost of closing a school can quickly snowball. In research in the United States, 3% of US GDP U.S. schools can be lost as a result of being closed for eight weeks.

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