Potsdam, November 19—If the current global dietary trend towards processed foods continues, more than 4 billion people could be overweight by 2050, of which 1.5 billion could become obese. This kind of study predicted yesterday.
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) experts warn of “amazing scale” health and environmental crises, global food demand jumping 50% by mid-century and the ability to sustain the planet’s nature I said it would exceed.
Food production already accounts for three-quarters of the world’s freshwater and one-third of its land, accounting for up to one-third of greenhouse gas emissions.
Researchers provide a long-term overview of the global dietary habits that change from 1965 to 2100, and use an open source model to include population growth, aging, weight gain, and decreased physical activity. We predicted how food demand would react to a variety of factors. Increased food waste.
They found that in “business as usual” (a continuation of the current trend), by 2050, more than 4 billion people, or 45% of the world’s population, could be overweight.
The model predicted that 16% of the 29% of the overweight population would be obese, compared to 9% now.
“Increased food waste and increased consumption of animal protein means that the environmental impact of our agricultural system will be out of control,” he said. Nature Scientific Reports..
“Whether it’s greenhouse gases, nitrogen pollution, or deforestation, we’re pushing the boundaries of the planet and pushing it beyond.”
Although trends vary from region to region, the authors write that global diets have changed from plant-based and starch-based diets to more “characterized by highly processed foods, sugar, fat, and animal-derived foods. He said he was moving to a “rich diet with a lot of food.”
At the same time, the study found that about 500 million people were undernourished by the middle of the century as a result of widening inequality along with food waste and loss (food produced due to understorage and overpurchasing but not consumed). It turned out to be. ..
“There is plenty of food in the world. The problem is that the poorest people on the planet don’t have the income to buy it,” said co-author Prajar Pradan.
“And in rich countries, people do not feel the economic and environmental consequences of wasting food.”
The United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, in a special report last year, said that unless emissions are curtailed and unsustainable agriculture and deforestation are stopped, humanity will have food security and temperature rise within decades. He warned that he would face an increasingly painful trade-off between them. — AFP-Relax news
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