Health
Utah is on track to double COVID-19 deaths within 10 weeks
Salt Lake City — Utah is on track to double state-wide COVID-19 deaths within 10 weeks, according to new projections from the University of Washington Research Group Health Index Assessment Institute. ..
Dr. Ali Mokudad, Chief Strategy Officer for Public Health at the University of Washington and an IHME researcher, said: “We expect more cases in winter due to the seasonality of COVID-19.” We are moving indoors and the virus loves indoors. “
Utah doctors said the IHME forecast was accurate if the state maintained its current weekly case rate.
read: 13 new deaths reported on Saturday with COVID-19 number, 3,692 new cases
“What we certainly know is that the fewer people are sick, the fewer deaths there are,” said Dr. Kensie Graves, a doctor at the University of Utah Hospital. “This applies to everything, not just COVID.”
projection According to IHME, Utah has more than 2,000 people by February 17. The deployment of the recently approved COVID-19 vaccine will reduce deaths to just under 2,000, and if 95% of the states wear masks, deaths will be reduced. To over 1,700.
“IHME’s model is a model, isn’t it? It’s not a prediction of the future,” said Dr. Graves. “We can actually have a little control over our future depending on how we behave as the masses.”
read: The United States is preparing the first shipment of Pfizer’s coronavirus vaccine after FDA approval
“It’s not written on our forehead,” Dr. Mokudad added. “We can prevent this. We can play our role in limiting the transmission of the virus, especially around holidays.”
According to the data, the best preventive measure so far has been wearing a mask. This is clear from the IHME mortality forecast up to April 1. The current route in Utah predicts more than 2,500 deaths at that time. With 95% mask compliance, that number is reduced by nearly 500 deaths.
“That is, just wearing a mask can now prevent one-third of the dead,” said Dr. Mokudad.
Dr. Todd Vento, an infectious disease specialist at Intermountain Healthcare, said vaccine use is imminent, but people need to be vigilant.
read: Utah will be vaccinated with COVID-19 vaccine on Monday
“All of these measures we have recommended over the last decade will continue to apply,” added Dr. Vento. “We have to keep them going even after you have been vaccinated.”
The model may be scary, but it’s not designed to spread fear.
“I don’t know if you’re scared by it. In fact, it’s just a reality based on the data we see and what they predict,” Dr. Vent said.
All three doctors agreed that the biggest point was that and should avoid these harsh predictions. They added that all they had to do was keep on wearing masks, avoid meetings, and stay as socially distant as possible.
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