Covid-19 – It may take a year to vaccinate the UK population against professionals

According to key scientists, it will take almost a year to vaccinate the entire UK population with Covid-19, even if the vaccine supply is uninterrupted.

Sir Jeremy Farah, director of the Wellcome Trust and a member of the Emergency Science Advisory Group (Sage), who advises the minister, said the rapid development of vaccines for the Covid-19 pandemic was a “significant achievement.” Said.

But with Professor Tim Cook, a consultant in anesthesia and intensive care medicine at the University of Bristol, Sir Jeremy warned that there was still a long way to go.

As they write in the journal Anaesthesia, they state: Two doses to the British population.

“No country has a whole-population vaccination campaign in its living memory. It must be carried out with regional leadership and cultural sensitivity.”

It is estimated that about 20% of the UK’s population may refuse vaccination, but the authors say that if 80% of people have jabs, “eventually some population (population). ) There is a prospect of immunity. “

This “reduces viral infections in the community to very low levels and protects both vaccinated and unvaccinated people.

“In contrast to herd immunity after spontaneous infection, this will be achieved without sacrificing the deaths of an estimated 500,000 British.”

The authors said early vaccines could help prevent serious illness and the colonization of the coronavirus in individuals, rather than preventing people from transmitting the virus.

“The success of the vaccine may be to prevent the infection from becoming established in the individual (prevention of the disease). Stop the infected person from progressing to a serious disease (attenuation of the disease); or transfer the disease. Prevent (kill immunity), “they said.

“It is unclear whether all three of these goals will be achieved by the” first generation “vaccine, but they are essential to the long-term success of the program.

“Immune sterilization is especially important because it is an epidemic modification.

“However, you may need a vaccine or adjunct that is given nasally. From preclinical studies, the first vaccine likely to be released in late 2020 will prevent disease progression and hospitalization. It is more effective and may be less effective in preventing infection. “

They found that collecting continuous data when vaccines were in use “improved 2nd and 3rd generation vaccines may be available after 2021”. Said it meant.

However, they warned that the vaccine would not be the “final solution for Covid-19.”

They say: “This is now endemic in humans and will not go away. As with all infectious diseases, we need to learn how to mitigate its effects by adapting behavior, diagnosis, treatment and access to vaccines. There is. “

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