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All deaths from the US coronavirus are preventable, health experts say

 


The sad part about the thousands of Americans dying in the coming weeks Coronavirus pandemic According to one health expert, they don’t have to happen.

“All the deaths we’re talking about this afternoon are preventable,” Dr. Peter Hotez, director of tropical medicine at Baylor College of Medicine, told CNN on Thursday. “This does not have to happen.

“We have the ability to stop these deaths, vaccinate them, keep them on their masks, and keep them socially distant. We need to get everyone to stay there for a few more weeks.”

As of Thursday afternoon Over 328,000 According to Johns Hopkins University, he died of Covid-19 in the United States.

Compared to the average for the last 7 days, the average 7-day mortality has increased in 22 states.

Experts fear that holiday gatherings will again lead to a surge in cases, followed by a surge in hospitalizations, and another surge in death.

“We can still save lives,” Hotez said. “No one needs to die in the coming weeks or months, but it’s a difficult message to convey.”

According to experts, herd immunity will not be available for several months.

The administration of the Covid-19 vaccine is “amazing news,” but CNN medical analyst Dr. Linawen needs to know that it will take some time before everyone is protected.

“I think there’s a false sense of security that people think,’Well, the vaccine is here,'” she said. “That’s great news, but we also know it will take time.”

“It will probably take more than half a year for us to get herd immunity in this country,” she said. “In the meantime, we still really have to double down and mask, physically distance and avoid indoor gatherings.”

According to the Mayo Clinic, herd immunity occurs when a sufficient part of the community is immune to the disease and is less likely to spread from person to person.

Dr. Anthony Fauci estimated that 70-85% of the population would need to be vaccinated against the new coronavirus to achieve herd immunity.

“This is a pure estimate,” Fauci said. “I don’t want anyone to mess with this. These are all quotes.”

Several factors, such as virus spread and vaccine efficacy, are involved in estimating the proportion of the population that needs to be vaccinated to achieve herd immunity.

The Moderna and Pfizer vaccines are about 95% effective against the coronavirus.

The death toll is projected to reach 567,000 by April

More than one million people received the first injection of the Covid-19 vaccine, but the influential coronavirus model has far exceeded 500,000 deaths in the United States, 567,000 by April 1. Is expected to exceed.

According to the latest forecast from the Institute for Health Metrics at the University of Washington, if the state relaxes its obligations to contain the new coronavirus, that number could explode to another 731,000 by April 1. There is.

However, according to IHME, planned vaccine deployments could save more than 33,000 lives, and a faster deployment could save 45,000.

According to IHME, mask use has increased to 74% nationwide. If it expands to 95%, 49,000 deaths could be reduced by April 1.

The latest IHME model looks like this The United States is looking forward to the rollout of the recently approved Covid-19 vaccine.Operation Warp Speed ​​distributed and administered approximately 9.5 million doses At least 1 million doses as of early Wednesday, According to data from the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

“As the number of cases of Covid-19 continues to grow nationwide, this outcome has come at a critical time, with front-line people and the most vulnerable elderly being healthcare providers treating COVID-19 patients. Helps protect patients in nursing homes and assisted living facilities, “said CDC Director Dr. Robert Redfield.

Vaccination is not coming soon in California, the first state to be infected with 2 million coronaviruses at the end of Wednesday. A handful of countries — Less than six weeks after the state reached one million on November 12. Given the state’s population of 39.5 million, one in twenty people in California has been tested positive for the virus.

The state’s 7-day positive rate is currently 12.6%, a slight decrease from the previous week. However, 55 of California’s 58 counties remain in the most restrictive purple layer of the state’s Covid-19 resumption system, resulting in the closure of many unwanted indoor businesses.

Governor Gavin Newsom believes that the recent surge in incidents is due to people relaxing their physical distance efforts and gathering with people outside the home, especially during vacations.

Since the outbreak of the pandemic, a total of 23,558 Californians have died from complications from the disease.

“We see the end”

Overall, the United States reported 228,131 new cases of coronavirus and 3,359 new deaths on Wednesday. This is the third most common death in a day. This is a catastrophic “normal” for the United States, with an average of approximately 215,000 new cases and more than 2,700 new deaths each day over the past week.

Several states, including Arkansas and Georgia, reported a record number of cases on Thursday. Arizona and Mississippi each had a record number of Covid-19 patients in their hospitals.

Los Angeles County, home to 10 million people, has announced 148 deaths. This is a record of the day.

Dr. Andrew Pastevsky, medical director of the intensive care unit at the Jackson South Medical Center in Miami, has attributed the surge in cases at his hospital to Thanksgiving.

“And on the upcoming holiday, we’re very afraid of what we’re about to see,” he told CNN’s Erica Hill.

But with the vaccine, “we can see the end,” Pastevsky said.

The government says it plans to distribute 20 million initial doses of the Pfizer-BioNTech and Moderna vaccines in the coming weeks. A little behind the original schedule..

“Vaccine delivery was a big week,” General Gustav Perna, chief operating officer of Operation Warp Speed, told reporters Wednesday. “We have delivered 7.9 million vaccines nationwide this week, so by the end of tomorrow we will have more than 7,800 deliveries. This is a truly amazing achievement.”

According to Perna, about 15.5 million vaccines have been allocated, with an additional 4.5 to 5 million vaccines expected next week.

“These deliveries end in the first week of January,” he said.

In addition, healthcare professionals have discovered that the Pfizer vaccine, a frozen solution diluted with saline prior to administration to people, can result in more than five doses initially thought.

As such, Perna said the auxiliary kits shipped with the vaccine were tuned with additional supplies to accommodate the possibility of a sixth dose.

“We’ve been able to coordinate contracts and kit builds to provide more features as we move forward,” Perna said Wednesday.

He said the kit already had a few “additional features” built in, and most of the vaccines are now given in hospitals that have “accessible syringes and needles.”

“So we are very pleased with the availability of syringes and needles and our ability to keep these kits together and the kits co-distributed with the vaccine,” he said.

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