Health
Expert reveals five phases of COVID-19, only phase 2 in US
Key Point
- US finishes Phase 2 of COVID-19 cycle and enters Phase 3 marked by greatly expanded laboratory testing
- Phase 4 uses vaccines, but COVID-19 is not widely available until 2022.
- Next comes phase 5. This makes readiness for the next pandemic a national security priority.
With more than 560,000 confirmed cases of COVID-19 and more than 22,000 deaths as early as Monday morning (April 13), the United States is the world leader in the number of cases and deaths caused by the disease. Is leading.
But the United States was warned only in phase 2 of the newly identified five-phase cycle of the disease Dr. Gerald ParkerDeputy Dean of the School of Veterinary Medicine & Medical Biology, Texas A & M, specializing in COVID-19. In Phase 2, the number of cases and deaths are doubled exponentially and are usually the most painful and horrible of the five phases.
The end of Phase 2 and the beginning of Phase 3 usually begin with flattening the epidemiological curve, or simply flattening the curve. Then go to phases 4 and 5. Phases 4 and 5 aim to make the next outbreak more terrifying than the previous outbreak.
The new Phase 1 of COVID-19, scheduled for this winter, will be bad news because vaccines are not ready. This means there is a terrible restart of the COVID-19 cycle. And casualties and casualties will again rise to tens of thousands in 2021.
Dr. Parker, once led by the Ministry of Health and Human Services (DHHS) in preparing for a public health emergency, agreed that containment would begin at the end of January. This was when the United States declared a public health emergency and imposed travel restrictions and bans from China to slow the spread of the virus.
Dr. Parker said containment was successful, but in late February the United States reached the inflection point of “expanding the community.” This massive human-to-human transmission by thousands has overwhelmed the public health system’s ability to achieve individual case-by-case containment. Then came the second phase, mitigation. This is where the United States is currently doing. Houston chronicle.
“The main purpose of mitigation is to slow the spread of the virus within the community,” Dr. Parker said. “What you’re seeing now is a lot of work to make sure our hospital isn’t overwhelmed by caring for patients who are really sick with COVID.”
He said in Phase 2 that Americans are looking at actions to reduce the economic impact of the virus and provide economic relief while employing people.
“I’m optimistic that I can have three to six months (better treatment of coronavirus symptoms). This is a toolkit treatment that can save people who have become severely ill. I think it will last at least 18 months, before a vaccine that can be deployed in a meaningful way is available. “
While the United States is waiting for this vaccine, it will go into Phase 3, basically the second phase of containment. Phase 3 is characterized by greatly expanded laboratory tests (both antigen and antibody laboratory tests). This needs to happen to enable scientists to better understand what is happening in the community. Despite rapid progress in lab testing last month, we are still catching up Without lab testing, we’re still almost blind as to what is actually happening in our community. “
Dr. Parker described Phase 4 as the third stage of containment with the vaccine. As this new vaccine becomes widely available, people will say, “I’m going to be in a situation where I’m used to seasonal flu, because I don’t think COVID will go away. The second wave is coming. “
Phase 5 begins, and preparing for the next pandemic is a national security priority.
Dr. Parker said, “With the new momentum, we have to prepare for the fifth stage of the pandemic.”
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