Health
According to scientists, the new coronavirus could become like a common cold in the future
Based on research on other similar types of viruses, scientists predict that the new coronavirus may resemble the coronavirus that causes the common cold in the future.
Reuters
A new study shows that the situation is likely to occur if the virus becomes endemic and most people are exposed to the virus in childhood...
The modeling study, published in Science on Tuesday, is based on four common cold coronavirus and SARS-CoV-1 studies... Scientists have analyzed the immunological and epidemiological data of these viruses to Trajectory of SARS-CoV-2 As it becomes endemic. This is when the virus circulates to the general public.
In their study, researchers pointed out that humans have long been infected with the four common cold-causing coronaviruses, and almost everyone is infected at a young age...
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Such natural infections in childhood develop immunity that protects later people from serious illness, but they cannot prevent regular reinfections, says Jenny Ravin of Emory University in the United States. I pointed out.
The new coronavirus has the potential to follow a similar path in human history.The study is endemic SARS-CoV-2 You may also get sick in early childhood. In such a scenario, the initial infection occurs between the ages of 3 and 5, and the disease itself is mild.
Researchers have confirmed that such early infections develop an immune defense against serious illness. However, the migration to this cold virus depends on the rate of spread of the virus.
“This model assumes that immunity to SARS-CoV-2 functions like any other human coronavirus. If someone first obtains one of the other coronaviruses as an adult rather than a child, I don’t know what it will be, “Ravine said.
About all immunity
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Many of the predictions about the model depend on the type of immune response. SARS-CoV-2 vaccine Trigger. This model suggests that the vaccine induces short-term protection against reinfection, but SARS-CoV-2 can become endemic sooner, even if it manages to reduce the severity of the disease. I will. This is the case for other endemic coronaviruses.
According to the model cited in the study, SARS-CoV-2 infection mortality can be lower than seasonal influenza infection mortality (0.1%) once the endemic steady state is reached. This is when vaccination against the disease may no longer be needed.
However, if the primary infection becomes severe in children, as in MERS, targeted vaccination in vulnerable subpopulations, including children, may still be required.
(With input from PTI)
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