Connect with us

Health

Five Reasons Why Coronavirus Cases Are Declining in Michigan

Avatar

Published

on


Coronavirus cases continue to decline in Michigan and elsewhere in the county.

Since the first week of January, the 7-day average of new state COVID-19 cases has decreased by 72%. The current average death toll for seven days is 30 per day, compared to 108 on January 9. Hospitalizations have dropped from about 2,600 in the first week of January to 917 as of February 17.

(The graph above shows a 7-day moving average of new coronavirus cases identified in Michigan. You can see the number by hovering over the bar.)

What’s happening, given that many healthcare professionals are aloud and worried about the surge in cases in January and February? Why is the number decreasing?

The general consensus is that several factors are at work. Let’s take a look at these theories.

Cold weather and reduced mobility

Emily Toss Martin, an epidemiologist at the University of Michigan, said Michigans are unlikely to leave home now that the holidays have passed and the winter weather has arrived.

“This is seen with the flu,” Martin said. “When the road gets worse, people stop going to places, so the flu tends to go down.”

Coronavirus mitigation efforts

Its reduced mobility will be even more pronounced this year due to coronavirus-related restrictions. According to mobility data collected by Google, Michigan has been one of the most declining states in recent weeks, with travel to stores, restaurants and workplaces compared to last winter. Is decreasing the most.

Among the factors contributing to this are restaurants in Michigan that closed in January and are currently limited to a capacity of 25%.

One Secret of Michigan’s Relatively Low COVID-19 Rate: Low Mobility Compared to Other States

There are also signs that more people are wearing double masking or more effective masks, which also helps reduce transmission.

“I think a lot of people take precautions seriously,” said another UM epidemiologist, Ryan Marosh. “They are wearing masks and doing what they should be doing.”

Part of that was a natural reaction to the coronavirus surge in November and December, Marosh said. “This also happened in the spring. When these huge peaks are reached, people have a higher risk awareness and adjust their behavior more carefully.”

Fewer tests

One of the reasons for the low number of cases in Michigan is the low number of people tested. In other words, the number of undetected cases is increasing.

In December, the state conducted an average of about 49,000 coronavirus diagnostic tests daily. This dropped to an average of about 39,400 tests per day in January and further to about 32,400 per day so far in February.

Part of that reduction is simply that fewer cases, fewer exposed people, and need to be tested. However, Marosh suspects that some of this has also shifted public attention from testing to vaccination.

Nevertheless, the positive rate is steadily declining, indicating not only a decline in testing, but also a decline in cases. Five weeks ago, the state’s seven-day average positive rate was 9.5%. Currently it is 3.4%.

Vaccination program

On the one hand, only 14% of Michigan’s adult population has been vaccinated at least once, and only 7% have both vaccinated.

“I would be surprised if vaccination still had that effect,” Marosh said. “We haven’t been vaccinated enough yet”, which is a major factor in the downtrend line.

“Vaccinations do help reduce the number of cases,” Marosh said. This is an effect that should snowball as more vaccination programs increase.

More people have innate immunity

The surge in coronavirus cases from mid-October to December means that hundreds of thousands of COVID-19-infected Michiganders have antibodies to the virus, at least for now.

Currently, the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention estimates that 15% of Michigan’s population is infected with the coronavirus. This is an estimate based on serological tests looking for antibodies. 15% of them include unidentified and undiagnosed cases.

Combining that 15% with an increase in the number of vaccinated people significantly reduces the chances of the virus spreading. It’s not herd immunity, but it’s a move in that direction.

Whatever the reason, the declining trend in cases, hospitalizations and deaths is welcome news, Martin said. “It’s exciting.”

Details of MLive:

Michigan has given more than 1.5 million COVID-19 vaccines

During the pandemic, mental health struggles are skyrocketing in Michigan families. Here is their story.

Psychological damage to our children in a pandemic

Parliamentary riot father helped thwart potential 2005 terrorist attacks associated with the Oklahoma City bombing

What Are The Main Benefits Of Comparing Car Insurance Quotes Online

LOS ANGELES, CA / ACCESSWIRE / June 24, 2020, / Compare-autoinsurance.Org has launched a new blog post that presents the main benefits of comparing multiple car insurance quotes. For more info and free online quotes, please visit https://compare-autoinsurance.Org/the-advantages-of-comparing-prices-with-car-insurance-quotes-online/ The modern society has numerous technological advantages. One important advantage is the speed at which information is sent and received. With the help of the internet, the shopping habits of many persons have drastically changed. The car insurance industry hasn't remained untouched by these changes. On the internet, drivers can compare insurance prices and find out which sellers have the best offers. View photos The advantages of comparing online car insurance quotes are the following: Online quotes can be obtained from anywhere and at any time. Unlike physical insurance agencies, websites don't have a specific schedule and they are available at any time. Drivers that have busy working schedules, can compare quotes from anywhere and at any time, even at midnight. Multiple choices. Almost all insurance providers, no matter if they are well-known brands or just local insurers, have an online presence. Online quotes will allow policyholders the chance to discover multiple insurance companies and check their prices. Drivers are no longer required to get quotes from just a few known insurance companies. Also, local and regional insurers can provide lower insurance rates for the same services. Accurate insurance estimates. Online quotes can only be accurate if the customers provide accurate and real info about their car models and driving history. Lying about past driving incidents can make the price estimates to be lower, but when dealing with an insurance company lying to them is useless. Usually, insurance companies will do research about a potential customer before granting him coverage. Online quotes can be sorted easily. Although drivers are recommended to not choose a policy just based on its price, drivers can easily sort quotes by insurance price. Using brokerage websites will allow drivers to get quotes from multiple insurers, thus making the comparison faster and easier. For additional info, money-saving tips, and free car insurance quotes, visit https://compare-autoinsurance.Org/ Compare-autoinsurance.Org is an online provider of life, home, health, and auto insurance quotes. This website is unique because it does not simply stick to one kind of insurance provider, but brings the clients the best deals from many different online insurance carriers. In this way, clients have access to offers from multiple carriers all in one place: this website. On this site, customers have access to quotes for insurance plans from various agencies, such as local or nationwide agencies, brand names insurance companies, etc. "Online quotes can easily help drivers obtain better car insurance deals. All they have to do is to complete an online form with accurate and real info, then compare prices", said Russell Rabichev, Marketing Director of Internet Marketing Company. CONTACT: Company Name: Internet Marketing CompanyPerson for contact Name: Gurgu CPhone Number: (818) 359-3898Email: [email protected]: https://compare-autoinsurance.Org/ SOURCE: Compare-autoinsurance.Org View source version on accesswire.Com:https://www.Accesswire.Com/595055/What-Are-The-Main-Benefits-Of-Comparing-Car-Insurance-Quotes-Online View photos



Pictures Credit

ExBUlletin

to request, modification Contact us at Here or [email protected]