There will be more waves of Covid-19 “definitely”, the statistician warns

A British national statistician said there was “no doubt” that another wave would come. COVID-19 Autumn infection.

Professor Sir Ian Diamond, head of the National Bureau of Statistics (ONS), also said that there are many regional differences in the number of people who have antibodies.

His comments come after the Chief Medical Officer of the United Kingdom Professor Chris Whitty said resuming society is still at risk and the UK will experience a surge in another incident at one point., Potentially late summer or throughout autumn and winter.

Sir Ian said people need to understand how the data are moving forward and investigate the impact of the deployment of “great” vaccines.

“But that said, we also need to be aware that this is an indelible virus,” he told The Andrew Marr Show on BBC One.

“And there is no doubt that another wave of infection will come in the fall.”

Asked if it was premature to know how much of the reduction in infections across the UK was due to vaccine deployment, he said there were some moving parts such as vaccines and restrictions.

Sir Ian told the program: “This is a very impressive vaccine development and we are looking for antibodies in the population and should have more blood tests so we can investigate the effects.

“And what we’re seeing is that antibody levels have increased significantly over the 80’s and over the 70’s, so I’m actually seeing some vaccine deployments. I am very confident that we are starting to provide real protection for.

“On the other side, we see very high levels among adolescents, which indicates the number of adolescents affected by the virus.

“Finally, we say that there is a lot of variability from region to region. We need to be aware that 30% of London has antibodies, compared to only 16% in the southwest.”

During the week, Professor Whitty said he would “strongly advise” any move to shorten the schedule for easing blockade restrictions.

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Talking to the Commons Science and Technology Commission, Professor Whitti said the measures taken on May 17, which could allow up to six people to mix indoors, carry “significant risks.”

Modeling examined by the Scientific Advisory Group for Emergency (Sage) suggests that at least an additional 30,000 Covid-19 deaths can occur, even under the most optimistic set of assumptions. I am.

Professor Whitty said:

“We hope it doesn’t happen soon. For example, if we open gradually, it may happen in the second half of summer, and due to seasonal influences in the next fall and winter. It may happen.

“All modeling suggests that there will be a further surge to find people who have not been vaccinated or have not been vaccinated.

“Some of them go to the hospital and sadly some of them continue to die.”

Elsewhere Charities wrote an open letter to encourage people Advances the underlying health of the coronavirus vaccine.

Cancer Research UK, Mencap, and Terrence Higgins Trust are one of the 18 signatories of a letter to people in the Vaccine Cohort 6.

This group includes not only caregivers, but also people with various basic health conditions that increase the risk of coronavirus.

They include chronic respiratory, heart, kidney and liver disorders and neurological conditions, immunosuppression, asplenia, diabetes, morbid obesity and severe psychiatric disorders.

Group 6 also includes sickle cell disease, lupus, and general practitioner learning disability registrants, as well as people with vascular disease or stroke.

According to the latest government statistics, more than 23.6 million people in the UK receive the first dose of the coronavirus vaccine.

There were an additional 5,534 cases confirmed by Covid-19 testing in the last 24 hours, with 121 deaths recorded in the UK among those who were coronavirus-positive in the last 28 days.

Meanwhile, the NHS sends texts asking for vaccination to millions of vulnerable people with underlying health conditions.

People with symptoms such as diabetes or certain types of cancer will receive a link to book a jab at vaccination centers or pharmacies throughout the UK.