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Self-satisfaction at warning level 3 runs another blockade-epidemologist | 1 News

 


As New Zealand approaches the move to vigilance level 3, epidemiologists warn this is not the time to be satisfied.

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The Salvation Army alone helped people carrying food parcels four times more than they did before containment.
Source: Breakfast


Epidemiology professor Michael Baker told the Morning Report that the low number of new cases reassures the country is ready to move to Level 3.

However, he warned that if the “replication count” is less than one, you should not be indifferent to the rules (reproduction count is the number of expected cases that a single case will generate directly).

“It’s the idea that, as a country, this number should be kept below one, which makes the average case less infected than the others, and it’s the core that actually sniffs this virus.”

Professor Baker said that if people adhere to the strict rules, they are more likely to get rid of the virus. Otherwise, there was always the risk of spikes, even at level 3.

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Police Secretary Andrew Coster reminds us that New Zealand’s Level 4 blockade restrictions apply until Tuesdsay.
Source: Breakfast


He also said New Zealand’s prudent approach to escaping the blockade is different from abroad.

“The only thing they are doing is suppressing the virus. When they get out of the blockade, there will be a lot of viruses around and it will come back pretty violently in many countries, and that New Zealand will It does not mean that.

“We break out of the lockdown very carefully based on the fact that the virus will not circulate by this end.”

He said community-acquired outbreaks and outbreaks at Level 3 were dangerous and required immediate response or the risk of returning to lockdown.

In addition, limiting intimate contact to reduce the likelihood of infection and treating level 3 like level 4 is a key factor in avoiding another lockdown, Baker said.

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People also had to keep acclimatizing their hygiene habits as they returned to work over time, and even considered wearing a mask, he said.

“Now more research is [wearing masks]Remember, this is a different virus than I’ve seen before … I still don’t think it’s ready for a national recommendation [for mass masking] I think it’s close.

“It’s evidence that people are quite infectious before they realize they’re sick. Whether the fabric will reduce the risk of you just telling or breathing the virus to other people.” I have to think.

“We are looking at every opportunity to give us an edge over it, so the countries that are really successful against this virus are mainly in Asia, where mask wear is common.”

Professor Baker said any policy on masking needs to be thoroughly developed. “If they are abused, they may be worse than without a mask.”

“I think we need to tackle the policy agenda as an option. We need to put all these barriers in place, especially as we are returning to a more normal life.

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